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Live Updates

24

Aug 2026

加拿大皇家银行警告：美国50%关税或冲击加国出口商，并拖累加元与债券市场

RBC称美国拟对加拿大部分出口征50%“第338条”关税（约占5%），或升级CUSMA摩擦。加元承压、BoC或按兵不动；塑料电机家具林业最伤，可用期权、债券多头对冲。

24

Aug 2026

MUFG：在美元/加元逼近1.4000之际，加元走势受关税升级风险主导

关税冲击还没完？MUFG称加元走势不看初始波动，关键在争端是否升级与报复风险。50%关税落地恐拖累加元，油价支撑减弱，USD/CAD或回升逼近1.40。

24

Aug 2026

霍尔木兹航运股飙升，伊朗原油出口受阻；WTI测试突破，VIX仍保持低位

霍尔木兹海峡航运两周飙近400%却难解伊朗出口停摆；运费创多年新高。WTI若破85.95–87.84或冲100。VIX超低值延续，标普慢涨，聚焦英伟达业绩。

24

Aug 2026

美国数据降温与白宫施压支撑市场预期美联储按兵不动，美元走弱

二线数据暗示美国需求与通胀降温，联储加息压力减；但9月前数据真空，转向门槛仍高，料维持利率。特朗普逼降融资成本，美元续弱未见底。

24

Aug 2026

道明证券预计加拿大第二季GDP在出口与服务业带动下反弹，提振加元与升息预期

TD Securities押注加拿大Q2 GDP年率3.5%超预期：出口飙升、服务业韧性撑动能，6月环比或0.3%。加元或两日升0.5%–1.2%，利率期货看空。

24

Aug 2026

受美债回购削弱美元并提振避险需求影响，黄金上涨逼近4,658美元

黄金冲上4,658美元续强，受美债回购扩容压低美元、债务忧虑催化避险。惟长债息近高位抬升机会成本；本周PCE与杰克逊霍尔或放大波动，关键位4,685/4,516。

24

Aug 2026

美元持稳，因美债收益率压制举措与贬值忧虑影响事件驱动的下行风险

美元开盘持稳却暗藏转折：市场紧盯财政部压长债收益率、伊朗“经济D日”与沃什杰克逊霍尔讲话。“美元贬值”叙事升温，波动或放大，美元风险偏下行。

24

Aug 2026

欧元/日元企稳于185.70附近，日本通胀升温推高日本央行加息押注，欧洲央行收紧预期升温

欧/日围绕185.70盘整但暗藏爆发：日本CPI升温推BoJ 9月加息概率82%，ECB 9月加息95%。建议短天期跨式捕捉波动，并对冲套息风险，紧盯Himino讲话与ECB纪要。

24

Aug 2026

UOB预计美元/日元将区间震荡，因收益率差收窄而略偏下行

美元/日元158.33–159.13震荡，UOB指方向不明，日内看158.55–159.30。未来1–3周轻微偏空但跌幅受限156.60–159.60。策略：铁秃鹰卖价外权利金，或159.30–159.60轻空。

24

Aug 2026

美国股市本周走低，收益率控制担忧冲击科技股，欧洲抽签形势改善

美股尾盘反弹仍周跌，经济数据与英伟达预期促回补；收益率压制恐反噬引发“卖出美国”。建议买科技股保护性认沽+布局STOXX Europe 600看涨/牛市价差把握轮动。

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