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3

Sep 2026

土耳其8月通胀放缓至31.51%，低于预期，影响降息预期

土耳其8月CPI按年31.51%，略低预期却仍高企；通胀明显降温或为降息铺路。交易者可卖USD/TRY跨式、收固定利率互换，并关注BIST100期货多头机会。

3

Sep 2026

卢比走强：印度央行FCNR资金流入推升外汇储备；美元/印度卢比随美元走软及强劲GDP下滑

卢比续强，USD/INR 逼近94.16支撑！RBI特别FCNR(B)吸金1,363.8亿美元+美元走软，空头占优；但RSI超卖防反弹，宜设95.32止损并关注NFP波动。

3

Sep 2026

黄金在4,450美元下方企稳，加息预期与中东紧张局势左右需求

金价欧市偏强却卡在4,450美元下方：美债收益率回落与ADP疲弱撑盘，但9月加息62%+油价推升通胀压制。聚焦周五NFP；阻力4,438/4,480，支撑4,378/4,282。

3

Sep 2026

欧元/美元企稳于1.1590附近，市场聚焦美国数据、押注美联储加息及海湾地区紧张局势升温

EUR/USD徘徊1.1590，今晚ISM与周五非农或掀巨震！沃什放鹰令9月加息押注升至62%。中东紧张推避险美元，欧元受油价压制。关注1.1565/1.1500。

3

Sep 2026

爱尔兰AIB服务业PMI小幅升至55.4，巩固扩张势头并支撑欧洲央行谨慎立场

爱尔兰AIB服务业PMI 8月升至55.4，扩张加速释放“欧元区韧性”信号。或令服务业通胀更粘、欧央行更鹰，推升收益率，欧元多头与Euribor交易升温。

3

Sep 2026

英镑兑日元下挫，干预担忧升温，GBP/JPY跌破100天移动平均线

英镑兑日元失守100日均线215.08，GBP/JPY跌至214.08转弱。若破214看213.02、209.58、207.24；干预风险升温支撑日元，宜短仓/买Put并紧设止损。

3

Sep 2026

纽元走低：新西兰联储如预期加息，但更偏鸽的利率路径引发市场大幅重新定价

RBNZ加息至2.75%却泼冷水：仅暗示年内再加一次，利率路径遭90分钟重估，纽元急挫至0.58后反弹。关注0.5800支撑、0.5900反转。

3

Sep 2026

美元/日元自160回落，干预传闻再起，市场关注日本央行与美国数据

美元/日元破160后回落至158.50，干预传闻再起但效果短暂。利差与美数据/日央行会议主导，回调或是做多机会；关键支撑158.50/157.50。

3

Sep 2026

英镑跌破1.3500，英债供应忧虑升温及押注美联储加息支撑美元

英镑跌破1.3500抹去8月涨幅，收益率飙升反成发债焦虑。美通胀黏性推升加息概率，美元偏强。策略：反弹沽空，破1.3400或加速下探。

3

Sep 2026

WTI近守六周高位，中东风险溢价持续，焦点转向OPEC+

油价冲高回落：WTI逼近六周高位，伊朗事件推升风险溢价；EIA库存大减445万桶形成支撑。关注OPEC+与90-92阻力，期权宜做85-92区间策略。

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