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2

Jul 2026

美元/离岸人民币跌破6.7900，新加坡大华银行转向盘整走势，预计波动区间为6.7750–6.8080

USD/CNH 跌破6.7900后转入盘整：6.7865探底、收6.7911且偏超卖。UOB料日内6.7860-6.7990、未来1-3周6.7750-6.8080，低波动下宜卖权利金，关注6.8430突破风险。

2

Jul 2026

墨西哥央行调查显示：2026年底通胀预测下调，增长预期持稳，比索料走软

通胀预期下修、增长停滞未解：分析师料墨西哥比索未来半年温和走弱，USD/MXN年底看17.95；利率或守6.50%，套息吸引力降，期权布局18关口。

2

Jul 2026

美元在收益率走高支撑下持稳，ADP就业数据偏软令市场在非农报告前趋于谨慎，欧元走低

非农前波动加剧：DXY守101.40，制造业韧性但ADP转弱；欧区通胀降温压欧元。策略：买EUR/USD看跌、USD/JPY深价外看跌防干预；看空WTI、黄金卖备兑。

2

Jul 2026

美元/韩元料维持区间波动，1561限制涨幅，静待美国非农就业数据

美元/韩元卡在1561阻力、1530支撑间震荡：跌势证据不足。聚焦美国非农与利差分化，强数据或突破看1573/1580；短天期勒式收权利金，破1530即止损。

2

Jul 2026

墨西哥比索走软，USMCA疑虑推高贸易风险溢价并支撑更强势美元

重磅警报：USMCA前景再起疑云推升风险溢价，墨西哥比索在美元强势下走弱，USD/MXN升至17.55。市场聚焦非农，关注17.62突破与期权对冲。

2

Jul 2026

麦克莱姆警示加拿大经济疲弱，通胀仍高于目标，令降息押注受抑

经济疲弱但通胀顽固，加拿大央行称利率在中性下沿“差不多合适”，短期或按兵不动。AI投资带来竞争与不确定性，拖累加元、推高波动，市场紧盯数据突变。

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