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8

Oct 2026

市场持稳：勒庞财政计划推动法国利差收窄；美债收益率维持高位，日元走软

勒庞财政目标出炉稳住法国资产，OAT利差收窄；油价冲高压欧元，建议短期期权对冲。日圆再弱、美债标售在即，留意USD/JPY上破与卢比风险。

7

Oct 2026

欧元/英镑延续九连跌，油价飙升与政治因素拖累欧元

EUR/GBP九连跌逼近16个月低位0.8455！勒庞削支难救欧元，胡塞袭击推油价破100增压；技术面偏空，守0.8500看反弹，失守续探0.8410。

7

Oct 2026

中国外汇储备9月升至3.4万亿美元，超预期

中国9月外汇储备意外回升至3.4万亿美元，超预期释放稳汇率信号：人民币下行或受限，USD/CNH偏空；AUD、NZD或受益；金属需求与CNH期权卖波动机会浮现。

7

Oct 2026

金价徘徊在两个月低位附近，美元走强与美联储会议纪要发布在即

黄金徘徊两个月低位4,100美元，FOMC纪要前美元与美债收益率压制；市场押注12月加息概率85%。中东风险推油价。关键支撑4,100，失守看3,938。

7

Oct 2026

印度央行将回购利率上调至5.50%，并采取“校准式”紧缩政策，卢比与债券收益率成焦点

印度央行突转“校准式紧缩”引爆市场：回购利率升至5.5%，通胀均值料5.8%且短期不降息。卢比、债券收益率与股指波动或齐升。

7

Oct 2026

墨西哥比索随美元因获利回吐走软而走强；市场静待美联储会议纪要

披索趁美元回软强弹，USD/MXN跌至17.97；市场等FOMC纪要与墨西哥通胀、央行纪要。技术面仍偏多，期权回调布局，看18.12阻力。

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