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9

Jul 2026

澳元/美元区间震荡，澳洲联储降息时点之争支撑澳元，0.6980突破风险上升

AUD/USD 再陷区间拉锯：短线料守 0.6915–0.6950。CPI 4.0% 令降息预期重估，若守 0.6600 或试破 0.6720；中期仍偏空看 0.6707。

9

Jul 2026

美元在中东空袭下仍走软，交易员聚焦美联储偏鹰转向与波动率对冲策略

中东冲突升级却美元走弱，市场或低估风险；Fed纪要偏鹰暗示再加息。策略：买VIX看涨对冲，押欧镑续升、黄金反弹，原油看跌，USD/JPY或短线急反弹。

9

Jul 2026

纽元/美元升破0.57，纽储行一致加息25个基点，并释放进一步收紧信号

RBNZ 一致加息25基点带动纽美破0.57，释放更偏鹰信号。通胀料回归目标前仍有加息空间。把握政策分化，布局0.58附近看涨期权，同时警惕风险情绪回撤。

9

Jul 2026

标普500指数第二季盈利预计增长24%，科技股领涨，大型银行步伐领先

标普500次季盈利料飙24%、收入增11%，科技贡献近半；七巨头与大行财报将定调。VIX仅14.5，期权不贵，偏多策略或迎上行惊喜。

9

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎回落至0.8050附近，联储会议纪要未能提振美元，伊朗紧张局势升温

美元兑瑞郎跌破0.8100后走弱，逼近0.8050；纪要偏鹰仍难撑美元。关注美伊与油价变量。策略：押向0.8000看跌/价差或区间卖跨。关键0.8120反转。

9

Jul 2026

欧元/日元在德国贸易顺差推动下续涨，日本干预风险仍笼罩

EUR/JPY连涨至185.70，德国5月贸易顺差爆表推升欧元；但日方干预风险升温恐随时急跌。用看涨期权或牛市价差参与上行，多头买看跌对冲。

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