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19

Aug 2026

美元/新元从1.2752低点反弹，但在盘整延续下美元偏向仍维持看跌

USD/SGD 急跌破 1.2765 触 1.2752 后反弹至 1.2778；短线 1.2760-1.2795 整理。未来仍偏空，目标 1.2740，阻力 1.2810/1.2840，把握反弹布局空单。

19

Aug 2026

美元/瑞郎自50日均线反弹，0.8135突破后瞄准0.8207

USD/CHF 反弹逼近0.8135关键阻力，RSI偏多；突破看0.8200/0.8207可布局短期call。若失守0.8100，转put看0.8084至0.8000，警惕熊旗延续。

19

Aug 2026

美元/日元持稳于159.60附近，霍尔木兹紧张局势推升美元需求，尽管美国数据喜忧参半

美元/日元守稳159.60，霍尔木兹紧张推升美元避险，日元承压。数据喜忧参半。技术阻力159.69-159.73，突破或冲160。策略：短期call、牛市价差。关注干预风险。

19

Aug 2026

印尼2027年预算在盾汇与债券收益率风险下，力争6%增长、赤字率2.4%

2027印尼预算用Rp17,500/美元、GDP增6%、赤字2.4%求稳，但暗示美元强与融资偏紧。交易员可备美元/盾期权、远期对冲，并关注10年债6.9%与互换、期货空头机会。

19

Aug 2026

美元指数随全球收益率同步上升而走低，市场对美联储按兵不动的押注升温

美债收益率飙至20年高位，美元指数却无力上攻：全球收益率同步上行稀释利差，美国数据转弱与降息预期升温。DXY受压99.75，宜偏空看99.25/98.75。

19

Aug 2026

道琼斯指数下挫，因美联储加息概率降温但长端美债收益率飙升，令房市与股市承压

长端收益率飙升压制风险资产：30年美债约5.3%、道指回落至53,400点。市场淡化12月加息，但房市转弱、油价破85。策略：偏空道指、做弱地产、偏多能源。

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