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19

Aug 2026

英国通胀加速至2.9%，核心通胀持稳于2.6%，英镑走强

英通胀再“爆表”：7月CPI升至2.9%、核心2.6%，高于预期且超BoE目标；油价推升黏性通胀，9月加息压力增，镑美冲1.3545，波动料放大。

19

Aug 2026

澳洲薪资增长稳定在3.2%，市场权衡澳洲央行（RBA）提前降息前景

澳洲Q2工资指数年增3.2%符预期，工资降温延续。RBA紧缩压力减、市场或上调年内降息定价：做多3/10年国债期货，布局AUD/USD短期看跌与ASX200牛市价差。

19

Aug 2026

全球收益率走高抑制涨幅，地缘政治支撑需求，金价在4,335美元附近企稳

金价在4,335美元企稳却暗流汹涌：全球长债收益率飙升压制无息资产，油价与霍尔木兹风险撑通胀底。策略：4,385逢高卖，守4,210；善用价差、铁鹰对冲。

19

Aug 2026

欧元/日元在184.70附近受阻：均线阻力叠加日本央行收紧与欧洲央行降息

EUR/JPY 连涨遇阻184.70，185关口前犹豫。若收上184.73可追call看185/187.47；失守184.05转put防下探182.05/179.37。日银紧缩、欧央行降息缩利差。

19

Aug 2026

纽元/美元在美元需求上升之际小幅走低至0.5870附近；市场聚焦美联储会议纪要

避险升温美元走强，NZD/USD压在0.5870一线偏弱。霍尔木兹紧张拖累商品货币，关注美联储纪要、澳洲就业与PBoC决议；0.5860失守恐加速下行。

19

Aug 2026

特朗普称与伊朗谈判已不在议程上，美国封锁行动令原油期权市场风险溢价上升

特朗普称未与伊朗谈判、海上封锁有效且霍尔木兹开放；美方加压令能源风险溢价升温。关注布伦特/WTI波动，布局虚值看涨、跨式，并加黄金与VIX看涨对冲。

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