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26

Aug 2026

EIA数据显示美国汽油库存由增转降，燃油价格料将上行

EIA数据显示8月21日当周美国汽油库存意外去库253.6万桶，需求韧性凸显，供应边际收紧或推升近月燃油价格与裂解价差；建议关注RBOB多头及看涨期权策略，严控风暴与检修风险。

26

Aug 2026

ABN AMRO表示，财政担忧与更高风险溢价拖累美元走低，欧元走强

美元风向突变：财政赤字与债务扩张推升风险溢价，压制美元并带动欧元走强。建议配置1-3个月EUR/USD近平值看涨期权，卖空美元并关注美债期货看跌期权。

26

Aug 2026

美国非国防耐用品订单大幅跃升，挑战美联储降息预期并提振美元前景

剔除国防的美国7月耐用品订单升至1.3%，资本开支韧性超预期，强化“高利率更久”定价；提示9月降息空间受限，利多美元与工业板块期权策略。

26

Aug 2026

美国第二季度PCE通胀意外上行，引发市场对美联储更趋鹰派的预期，施压美债与成长股

美国二季度PCE环比升5.3%超预期0.2个百分点，通胀粘性强化。市场或重估降息路径：短端收益率上行、曲线倒挂加深，科技股承压，美元走强。

26

Aug 2026

美国耐用品订单超预期，降息押注降温推动美债收益率与美元走强

美国7月耐用品订单环比增1.1%超预期，制造业与资本开支韧性凸显；或压降激进降息定价，推升短端美债收益率与美元，衍生品配置需前瞻调整。

26

Aug 2026

美国7月核心PCE维持在3.3%，支撑市场对美联储政策保持稳定的预期

美国7月核心PCE同比3.3%持平并符合预期，通胀定价趋稳。市场风险溢价回落，短端隐含波动率或受压；关注卖波动率、区间期权及利率衍生品窄幅交易配置。

26

Aug 2026

美国国债收益率走低抑制波动性，利好套息交易；澳元受CPI走高推动上涨

贝森特干预后长端美债收益率下行、跨资产波动率回落，油价走软提振风险偏好。焦点转向PCE、7年期国债拍卖及杰克逊霍尔；美元指数受限回落，套息交易与澳元看涨期权受益。

26

Aug 2026

印度卢比关注更强劲的重启走势，因油价回落、收益率下行且杰克逊霍尔年会临近

节后印度卢比料强势重启：油价回落及霍尔木兹通航预期缓解进口成本，USD/INR或下探95.40；杰克逊霍尔讲话前宜对冲波动并布局空头。

26

Aug 2026

受霍尔木兹航道谈判及美国原油库存增加拖累，WTI原油跌势延续并跌破80美元

WTI跌破80美元至79.50，伊朗与阿曼磋商霍尔木兹通道令风险溢价回落；EIA或连续第四周累库强化供给过剩预期，策略偏空：期权做空、跨期价差博弈75支撑。

26

Aug 2026

市场静待英伟达财报出炉：季度营收或达1000亿美元，AI基础设施融资持续升温

英伟达财报夜临近：营收或冲刺千亿美元，期权隐波预示8%—10%剧震。更大看点在资产负债表转向AI基建融资，非流通证券飙至430亿美元，估值敏感度抬升。

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