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27

Aug 2026

加元随美元走强而走弱；关税落地前美元/加元在公允价值附近企稳

美元走强叠加油价回落，加元/挪威克朗承压；加方9月8日起对200亿美元美货加征关税影响有限。美元/加元守1.3842，或试探1.39；建议买跨式博波动。

27

Aug 2026

瑞郎走软，较强美国PCE通胀提振美元，美元/瑞郎升向0.8052

美PCE超预期推升美元，USD/CHF升至0.8052、涨0.47%；美联储维持利率预期与SNB零利率形成利差，瑞郎承压，中东风险抬升油价及波动，策略偏多美元与期权对冲。

27

Aug 2026

比特币跌破8万美元，受美国PCE通胀黏性影响市场风险偏好趋谨慎；杰克逊霍尔年会前金价测试4600美元水平

比特币跌破8万美元触发去杠杆，7.8万上方承压；PCE偏高令政策预期降温。黄金回撤至4600。衍生品宜保护性看跌、备兑策略与铁鹰捕捉波动率回落。

27

Aug 2026

英镑走弱：美国PCE通胀居高不下推升美元，美联储加息概率再度成为市场焦点

美通胀与经济数据偏强推升美元及美债收益率，英镑回落至1.36下方。市场押注年内加息；杰克逊霍尔前建议GBP/USD跨式交易，固收可逢高做空美债期货。

26

Aug 2026

道指跌破53,500点，核心PCE修正值推升通胀担忧，英伟达财报发布前市场情绪承压

道指徘徊53,500点下方、通胀上修却反应钝化：核心PCE与GDP平减指数推升滞胀定价。叠加30年美债利率5.23%与英伟达财报、杰克逊霍尔风险，警惕回撤并配置防御性期权。

26

Aug 2026

随着停火预期缓解欧元区能源成本，市场焦点转向德国就业数据，欧元兑英镑走强

美伊停火预期推升EUR/GBP上破关键均线，押注霍尔木兹重开缓解欧元区能源成本；但伊朗转趋强硬限制涨幅，关注德国失业与期权看涨价差布局。

26

Aug 2026

随着儿童安全整改推进及欧盟《数字服务法》（DSA）风险加剧，Meta同意与美国各州达成167亿美元和解

Meta拟以167亿美元和解29州未成年人保护诉讼，承诺限时、宵禁、强核验与家长控制。Q2营收608亿美元增28%。DSA罚款上限6%营收，股价反弹但临50日均线压力。

26

Aug 2026

富时100指数逼近11,000点，石油股领涨；沃什讲话及美联储信号发布前黄金走低

富时100回吐跌幅续涨逼近11,000点，防御结构与资金轮动支撑；油价反弹提振欧股。黄金动能转弱，关注沃什讲话与美联储9月预期，期权策略可捕捉波动。

26

Aug 2026

在出口走强带动下，台湾人工智能引领的工厂产出大幅攀升，支撑第三季度强劲增长

AI与高性能计算驱动台湾工业与出口超预期加速：7月工业产出+25.6%、出口+32.9%、订单+61.9%。三季度GDP高增可期，建议布局TAIEX/半导体看涨期权及TWD低波动策略。

26

Aug 2026

EIA数据显示美国馏分油库存降幅扩大，提振柴油及取暖油价格前景

EIA数据显示馏分油库存当周骤降222.8万桶、降幅扩大，供需趋紧信号强化；叠加季节性切换与飓风扰动风险，柴油/取暖油价格及裂解价差或上行，期权与多头布局受益。

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