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31

Aug 2026

加元在“公允价值”附近企稳，市场聚焦加拿大央行决议与就业数据指引美元兑加元区间走势

加元围绕USD/CAD基本面均衡1.3920窄幅波动成主线；美加前端利差扩张抬升公允价值但限制上下行。聚焦BoC决议与就业数据，关键区间1.3820-1.4000。

31

Aug 2026

由沃什主导的外汇波动令欧元/美元、英镑/美元下行风险成为焦点，白银走势分化，WTI原油突破上行

外汇本周波动加剧：EURUSD、GBPUSD偏空并严设止损；白银警惕冲高扫止后回撤至28；WTI确认上破、回调做多看80；MAG7估值风险抬升，建议期权对冲。

31

Aug 2026

美元兑新元上涨引发中性区间观点：1.2705–1.2780区间运行，上方关键阻力位1.2780受限

USD/SGD 升至1.2754，区间预期上修至1.2705–1.2780、短期转中性；S$NEER偏强与美联储降息压制上行，1.2780阻力成关键，策略转向区间期权与高抛低吸。

31

Aug 2026

荷兰合作银行预计加拿大央行将维持利率在2.25%，市场已计入年底前进一步收紧货币政策预期

荷兰合作银行预计加拿大央行9月维持隔夜利率2.25%，并或至2027年按兵不动；贸易摩擦与能源推升通胀但压制增长，市场17bp加息预期存错配，OIS收固定、做多CORRA具交易机会。

31

Aug 2026

沃什警示可能进一步加息；杰克逊霍尔立场转向推升加息概率、压平收益率曲线

沃什首秀杰克逊霍尔转鹰，称通胀回归2%仍待发力，未排除续加息；市场重定价、长端利率下行，建议熊市趋平、做空SOFR并买短跨式捕捉波动。

31

Aug 2026

美元在杰克逊霍尔会议后大涨后企稳，非农就业数据公布在即；中东紧张局势升级推动油价走高

沃什杰克逊霍尔鹰派定调提振美元后趋稳，市场紧盯非农；欧区CPI升温强化ECB加息预期，日元破160警惕干预。中东冲突推油价跳涨，通胀再起。

31

Aug 2026

黄金回落至4,397美元，获利了结增强；美元走强及美联储鹰派立场令前景承压

金价受美元走强与获利了结回落至4,397美元，A浪近尾、B浪或反抽；关注4,510阻力，突破看4,580–4,620，随后C浪下探4,330–4,250/4,100。

31

Aug 2026

沃什在杰克逊霍尔会议上的讲话引发短端美债抛售，金价下挫，地缘紧张局势推升油价

沃什杰克逊霍尔鹰派发声引爆前端重定价：2年期美债飙至4.34%，9月加息隐含概率升至61%，长端相对稳；美元走强压金、地缘扰动抬油，期权对冲机会凸显。

31

Aug 2026

巴西7月名义财政预算赤字扩大至976亿雷亚尔，较预期高出136亿雷亚尔

巴西7月名义预算赤字976亿雷亚尔，较预期多136亿，财政宽松超预期引发风险溢价抬升：雷亚尔承压、央行偏鹰延续，利率敏感股或遭回撤。

31

Aug 2026

在美联储鹰派立场抑制涨幅、收益率上升且油价跳涨之际，黄金价格企稳于4,436美元附近

金价跌破200日均线后于4,436美元企稳；美联储“高利率更久”推升9月加息预期至61%并抬升美债收益率。建议偏空并以期权跨式对冲地缘与通胀波动。

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