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3

Jul 2026

印度外汇储备下降56.6亿美元，据报印度央行在卢比逼近85附近时出手抑制贬值

印度外汇储备单周骤降56.6亿美元至6,669.3亿美元，RBI疑似抛售美元力守USD/INR 85关口。干预压制上行但难持久，警惕储备消耗叠加美联储偏鹰、资本外流触发汇率补涨风险。

3

Jul 2026

富国银行认为在加拿大央行维持利率不变之际，加拿大就业市场趋于稳定，美元/加元维持区间震荡

重磅前瞻：加拿大就业“疲软趋稳”，失业率料维持6.5%–7.1%。工资增速放缓、通胀回落支撑央行维持利率不变；USD/CAD或延续区间震荡，卖出期权布局低波动。

3

Jul 2026

黄金自3,900美元支撑位反弹，但面临4,300美元趋势线及移动均线阻力压制

黄金守住3,885-3,930美元支撑并快速反弹，逼近4,300美元下降趋势线，但反转信号不足；4,380-4,480美元均线阻力强，建议卖出虚值看涨价差，关注宏观分歧压制上行。

3

Jul 2026

美国就业数据疲软拖累美元走低，美联储加息预期降温提振日元上扬

美国就业骤降引爆降息预期，美指回落助推美元/日元跌至161并触发干预猜测；期货仅计加息30bp。建议买入美元/日元看跌期权，关注CPI与波动率上行。

3

Jul 2026

日元反弹：美国非农就业数据疲软及干预传闻抑制美元兑日元上行空间，流动性偏淡

日元自162.50低位反弹至160-161，受美国非农疲弱与加息预期下修影响；市场再议日本财务省“隐性”干预。夏季流动性稀薄叠加逼空，美元/日元波动风险上行。

3

Jul 2026

三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）认为，美国就业数据疲软将迫使市场重新定价美联储政策预期，美元涨势料将回撤

MUFG称美国就业走软或引发Fed预期再定价：加息押注转向按兵不动并抬升降息尾部风险；美元反弹或回吐，关注6月CPI与证词。

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