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23

Sep 2026

英镑走软，因美联储鹰派前景推升美元；交易员权衡英国央行通胀风险

GBP/USD 亚盘回落至 1.3390；美联储加息并指引更鹰，10 月再加息概率升至 56.5% 推升美元。英央行偏紧但更渐进，建议用看跌期权/跨式捕捉波动。

23

Sep 2026

欧元兑美元小幅走高，但美联储鹰派立场与伊朗局势紧张限制涨幅，拉加德讲话在即

欧元/美元小幅反弹至1.1485但受限：美联储加息与避险需求支撑美元，欧央行预期偏鹰。技术面弱势，建议期权对冲、关注支撑阻力与利差交易机会。

23

Sep 2026

中国人民银行维持贷款市场报价利率不变，澳元/美元小幅走高，因中国政策暂停态势延续

央行维持LPR一年期3.00%、五年期3.50%不变，政策“按兵不动”引发敏感资产盘整预期；AUD/USD微升至0.7127。经济偏弱仍存宽松窗口，建议期权区间与外汇对冲布局。

23

Sep 2026

卡什卡利警示通胀压力面广，市场保持平稳，美联储立场仍偏强硬

卡什卡里称通胀仍偏高且非油价所致，增长与就业强劲；美元小幅走强、鹰派预期温和降温。关键在于：限制性利率或更久，资产配置需防收益率曲线再上移。

23

Sep 2026

美中在纽约启动会谈，为特朗普与习近平就贸易、人工智能及关键矿产议题会晤预作铺垫

彭博称中美纽约磋商为特习会晤预热，议题涉贸易、AI与关键矿产。市场风险偏好受扰，期权波动或放大；关注澳元、半导体与矿业期权布局。

23

Sep 2026

在美联储维持鹰派立场之际，澳元兑美元下挫，市场聚焦澳大利亚就业数据及特朗普与习近平关税磋商

美联储加息强化鹰派指引，推升美元致AUD/USD回落0.7120。澳洲就业数据与中美关税会晤成波动引擎，关注0.7140阻力及0.7091支撑，衍生品宜布局跨式。

23

Sep 2026

中国人民银行维持基准利率在3%不变，稳健立场支撑人民币及股票衍生品前景

央行维持基准利率3%不变，政策连续性强化，锚定信贷定价并稳定借贷成本；汇股波动或收敛，USD/CNH期权隐波料回落，沪深300衍生品迎策略布局窗口。

23

Sep 2026

Rightmove房价指数9月反弹0.7%，提振英镑并改善英国利率前景

Rightmove英国房价指数9月环比升0.7%逆转前值-2%，房市企稳或削弱英国央行降息预期；英镑、FTSE250及房企期权受益，SONIA期货需重估。

23

Sep 2026

随着日元多头激增、原油获买盘支撑及加元空头回补，CFTC交易员转向防御姿态

CFTC显示持仓转向防御：日元净多头飙至12.04万张、原油现新买盘；加元净空降至3.76万张但汇价背离。黄金多头拥挤97分位，欧元12分位待再建仓。

23

Sep 2026

台湾央行维持利率在2%不变，美元/新台币走势取决于股市资金流入

台央行连续十季维持2%利率，偏鹰但克制，上修2026增长与通胀；USD/TWD短线更受外资与科技风险偏好及美元驱动，关注31.83支撑、32.00阻力。

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