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Live Updates

23

Sep 2026

受德国选举意外冲击拖累，欧元受限于1.1500下方；油价回落及PMI成市场焦点

欧元/美元于1.1500下方企稳，德国选举挫败加剧政治不确定性并压制汇价；油价回落缓冲有限。建议通过看跌期权、宽跨式及卖出1.1600看涨对冲并捕捉PMI与央行信号波动。

23

Sep 2026

主权债券波动性主导三季度末行情，燃料价格上行令通胀忧虑与利率不确定性持续发酵

三季度收官在即，主权债收益率飙升成最大扰动：成品油创新高推升通胀预期、利率路径再生变数。英央行下调QT并延后售债，能源供给风险再起。

23

Sep 2026

法债风险重新定价引发欧元区国债抛售，收益率曲线趋平且欧元走软

欧债熊市趋平：能源高企与法德利差扩至80bp重定价主权风险；ECB通胀预期黏性抬升。建议押注曲线趋平、STIR对冲，布局欧元看跌迎PMI波动。

23

Sep 2026

美联储鹰派立场提振美元，金价跌破4,350美元关口，紧张局势限制下行空间

黄金周初回落，受美联储鹰派点阵图与美元支撑压制；地缘风险托底但收益率回落降温通胀预期。关键看4,317支撑与4,367阻力，期权宜铁秃鹰控风险。

23

Sep 2026

印度卢比随油价下挫走强，尽管通胀忧虑犹存，美元/印度卢比仍被推向95.75附近

油价回调带动印度卢比走强，USD/INR 下探95.75。MCX原油跌2.7%至9400。通胀升温与技术偏多限制空头，关注联合国大会及期权策略。

23

Sep 2026

欧元/美元跌破1.1500，空头瞄准1.1420支撑位与1.1590阻力位

欧元兑美元失守1.1500，技术面受制均线与趋势线，1.1515/1.1590成反弹门槛；下破1.1455、1.1420恐加速指向1.1350，期权跨式防范突破波动。

23

Sep 2026

在美联储鹰派立场及中东紧张局势推升美元和美债收益率之际，金价走低

金价亚洲早盘回落至4,365美元，受美联储再加息预期与地缘风险共振影响；收益率、美元走强压制贵金属，期权对冲与跨式布局或成风口。

23

Sep 2026

随着美联储与加拿大央行利差扩大及油价走弱拖累加元，美元/加元在1.4000附近企稳

美元/加元受油价回落、贸易摩擦及美加利差扩大支撑延续上行；守稳100日EMA1.3924，建议逢低布局看涨期权/牛市价差，目标1.4052。

23

Sep 2026

中国人民银行将美元兑人民币中间价定得更坚挺、且低于市场预期，释出容忍人民币走弱信号

央行将USD/CNY中间价定于6.7487，较测算偏弱释放容忍贬值信号；叠加经济放缓与LPR变数，USD/CNH波动或上行，期权策略宜择机布局。

23

Sep 2026

美元/日元自两周高位回落，日本央行鸽派加息及美联储立场支撑美元

美元/日元冲高157.10后回落至156.75，政策分化与高利差支撑美元；但日本央行投票分歧、通胀回落及干预风险压制上行，关注157.49/157.61突破。

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