Live Updates

9

Jul 2026

美联储会议纪要揭示政策分歧，市场重估美国利率路径，美元指数走强

FOMC纪要揭示政策立场分化但整体偏鹰，通胀预期上修推升加息定价与美债收益率，美元获利差支撑走强；关注CPI与7月会议，回调或成逢低布局窗口。

9

Jul 2026

美联储会议纪要强调通胀风险，市场权衡进一步收紧政策与美元支撑力度

重磅信号：6月FOMC按兵不动但通胀仍为核心风险，预测上修并暗示再加息可能；美元指数101关口震荡，利率高位或续撑美元与收益率。

9

Jul 2026

新西兰联储将官方现金利率上调至5.75%，并释放进一步收紧信号，提振纽元前景

抓住纽元机遇：RBNZ加息25基点至5.75%，通胀3.8%促续收紧预期升温；市场计入近40基点上行，OIS终端6.10%；利差支撑NZD/USD温和走强，但警惕美联储偏鹰扰动。

9

Jul 2026

美元走强及美债收益率上行盖过中东地缘风险溢价，金价下跌

金价受美元走强、美债收益率攀升及油价推升通胀预期拖累跌逾1%，技术面偏空。机构下调远期目标但仍看长线，关键支撑4,000美元。

8

Jul 2026

WTI回吐部分涨幅但仍保持坚挺，中东供应担忧抵消美国原油库存意外增加

WTI回吐涨幅仍坚挺，报73.60美元/桶；中东冲突推升风险溢价，霍尔木兹封锁威胁提振油价。然EIA意外累库压制，上行不确定性与OVX飙升凸显波动。

8

Jul 2026

英镑兑欧元升至一年高点，因市场对英国央行加息押注升温并超过欧洲央行鹰派转向预期

英镑受加息预期与通胀黏性支撑，推动EUR/GBP刷新一年低点；BoE与ECB政策分化下行未止，但英镑多头拥挤致“利多出尽”回撤风险升温。

8

Jul 2026

美元保持坚挺，美元/日元徘徊于162.50附近，市场聚焦FOMC会议纪要，干预风险隐现

美元/日元逼近162.5创四十年新高：美日利差与地缘风险推升美元避险需求，FOMC纪要或偏鹰支撑强势；惟日本干预风险升温，隐波上行、偏斜加剧。

8

Jul 2026

美元走势分化，伊朗紧张局势推升油价并打压股市，同时市场对美联储收紧政策的押注降温

伊朗紧张升温压制风险偏好，全球股市走弱，布油飙升6%至90美元上方；美元避险买盘不足。核心PCE回落令加息预期降温，OIS仍定价37bp，短波动与做空美元或受益。

8

Jul 2026

美国10年期国债拍卖中标收益率报4.58%，强化对利率维持高位的担忧并拖累股市表现

10年期美债标售中标收益率升至4.58%，较前次上行4.2个基点，折射通胀粘性与政策偏鹰推升融资成本；成长股承压，关注纳指Put、VIX Call及ZN Put。

8

Jul 2026

道琼斯指数大跌，伊朗紧张局势推高油价，搅动避险资产并强化加息预期

道指逼近高位后急挫700点，伊朗冲突与制裁推升油价、欧股走弱；美债收益率上行、黄金回落，市场押注加息重定价，主线转向“买波动+做多能源、做空长债”。

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