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21

Jul 2026

随着避险需求增强，巴基斯坦黄金价格攀升至每托拉422,233巴基斯坦卢比

巴基斯坦黄金周二上行：每克36,200卢比、每托拉422,233卢比。FXStreet称汇率换算仅供参考；央行创纪录购金支撑避险需求，期权价差策略或续受益。

21

Jul 2026

QQQ回调目标指向646-684美元支撑区间，艾略特波浪延伸，关键枢轴位维持在737.72美元

QQQ自6月高点延续回撤，艾略特“双组三”下行未完，目标支撑646–684美元。跌破686.76确认加速；737.72为枢轴。策略：反弹买入看跌或卖虚值看涨价差，波动率或上行。

21

Jul 2026

日元徘徊于162.50附近，市场权衡美伊停火前景及关键数据影响

美元/日元徘徊162.50逼近高位，市场聚焦美伊停火抉择与日本CPI、美国PMI。衍生品策略：短期限跨式捕捉突破，配置虚值看跌与障碍期权对冲极端波动。

21

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎走高，美伊冲突推升避险美元需求并强化加息预期

美伊冲突推升避险与油价，USD/CHF 连涨至0.8110。FedWatch 显示9月加息定价升至64.2%偏鹰。SNB警惕短期通胀并称或干预。抓紧上行期权布局。

21

Jul 2026

新西兰联储核心通胀维持在2.7%，纽元走软，降息预期升温

RBNZ因子模型示核心通胀2026Q2维持2.7%落于目标区间，削弱鹰派预期；NZD回落且或持续承压。策略：买NZD/USD看跌、做多AUD/NZD，把握利差分化。

21

Jul 2026

在美伊紧张局势推升美元需求之际，欧元/美元下探至1.1400附近；ZEW与ADP数据待公布

中东冲突升级推升避险美元，EUR/USD 回落至1.1410并逼近1.1400：波动率或抬升，宜配置短期限看跌及跨式；关注ZEW、ADP与7月29日FOMC定价。

21

Jul 2026

美元/新元维持在1.29附近，风险厌恶情绪抑制美元回调，市场静待新加坡CPI及金管局政策评估

华侨银行称USD/SGD低位窄幅震荡，动能温和偏空但RSI回升；地缘风险与AI抛售压制情绪。焦点转向新加坡CPI及MAS政策检讨，汇价或迎波动放大。

21

Jul 2026

特朗普下令对大部分加拿大进口商品征收50%关税，推动美元/加元走高并推升波动率预期

重磅冲击：特朗普援引《1930年关税法》338条拟对多数加拿大产品加征50%关税，8月19日生效。美元/加元走强、加元贬值与隐含波动率抬升风险加剧。

21

Jul 2026

美元兑日元在162.50附近横盘整理，日本经济数据与美国PMI临近，干预担忧仍在发酵

美元/日元162.50附近窄幅盘整两周，技术超买回落但跌势有限；日银加息与财务省干预效力受限。焦点转向贸易、CPI与美PMI，163.00突破风险加剧。

21

Jul 2026

新西兰CPI意外升至4.1%，令新西兰联储降息前景蒙上阴影，提振纽元及掉期收益率

新西兰二季度CPI同比4.1%超预期，通胀粘性强化RBNZ“更高更久”定价：降息或延后，纽元获支撑；建议偏多NZD并做空票据、押注两年掉期走高。

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