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Live Updates

22

Jul 2026

日本6月出口增速超预期，提振日元走强押注并加剧市场对日本央行收紧政策的猜测

日本6月出口同比劲增19.3%超预期0.7个百分点，折射全球需求回暖，或推升日央行收紧预期；日元看强，建议布局USD/JPY短期限看跌及日经看跌日历价差。

22

Jul 2026

伊朗警告或将扩大地区打击范围；美国再度空袭伊朗，推升WTI油价并抬升原油波动率预期

美伊冲突升级叠加特朗普威胁打击核设施，伊朗称将扩大报复；WTI飙升至84.35美元，油价与隐含波动率或进入上行周期，宜用价差、跨式对冲。

22

Jul 2026

在美伊敌对行动推升避险需求及波动率策略推动下，金价攀升至4,080美元上方

美伊冲突升级推升避险买盘，金价自4,000美元反弹至4,080美元。建议以黄金期权长跨/宽跨捕捉波动；配原油看涨期权及利率对冲防通胀再起。

22

Jul 2026

英镑下挫：英国就业数据超预期未能抵消薪资增速放缓及对英国央行前景的压力

尽管英国就业与失业数据整体超预期，英镑仍因薪资增速降温、BoE降息预期升温而跌破关键均线；聚焦CPI风险，期权策略偏向做空下看1.3300/1.3150。

22

Jul 2026

英镑/日元维持在218.00上方，因伯纳姆言论提振效应消退且干预担忧限制涨幅

英镑/日元回调后在218.20附近企稳，动能趋缓且受日本干预预期压制。技术阻力219.61/220.00，跌破217.53或下探217.00；建议期权限险与OTM护盘。

22

Jul 2026

澳元/美元在0.7000附近的50日指数移动平均线处滞涨，就业数据与澳洲联储决议前景受关注

澳元/美元受制50日EMA与铁矿石疲弱，地缘油价推升通胀但加息预期分化；就业、CPI及美联储决议成催化剂。策略：0.7050附近偏空，买波动率。

22

Jul 2026

韩国PPI加速升至8.6%，市场权衡韩国央行“更高利率维持更久”立场

韩国6月PPI同比升至8.6%再超预期，生产端通胀高位延续；韩央行或更久维持紧缩。策略：做空KTB期货、买KOSPI200看跌及USD/KRW看涨对冲。

22

Jul 2026

USD/CNH 震荡走低，在 6.7600 支撑位守稳的情况下下行偏向延续

USD/CNH破位转弱至6.7700，动能偏空但暂难下破6.7600；上方6.7820成关键风控线。贸易顺差扩张叠加美联储降息预期，期权宜布局近月看跌与熊市价差。

22

Jul 2026

美元走强：美伊紧张局势推升油价，重燃通胀担忧并引发日元干预预期

地缘冲突再扰动：美元指数逼近101.20、油价升破84美元抬升通胀预期；日元跌破163引发干预担忧。建议布局美元/日元价外看跌、原油牛市价差与黄金跨式策略。

22

Jul 2026

API数据显示美国原油库存增加260.3万桶，逆市场预期减少150万桶

API称截至7月17日当周美国原油库存意外增加260.3万桶，较预期减少150万桶大幅反差；作为官方数据前瞻指标，或扰动油价短期定价与仓位。

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