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Live Updates

22

Jul 2026

路透调查显示美联储料将全年维持利率不变，市场已计入2026年末加息风险

路透调查称美联储年内或维持利率不变，但油价冲击致通胀粘性，市场已押注12月加息概率81%、至2027年前两次加息；投资者宜提前布局波动率与能源对冲。

22

Jul 2026

中国动员监管机构与国家资金稳住A股，衍生品交易员关注波动率回落机会

全球科技股去杠杆外溢冲击A股，监管层联合“国家队”600亿元护盘并强化投资者保护；机构回流预期升温。抓住托底机遇：卖虚值看跌、做牛市价差与日历价差。

22

Jul 2026

美元兑日元创40年新高，红海原油风险推升干预担忧

美元/日元续创40年新高逼近163.24，红海油轮改道推升避险美元与油价预期；汇价站稳160上方，市场警惕日本突发干预，建议期权对冲与波动率策略。

22

Jul 2026

美元/韩元双顶受阻后测试200日均线，韩元支撑趋稳

USD/KRW冲击1,561双顶失败后下挫，回测200日均线并关注1,464/1,461趋势支撑；出口韧性与韩央行维持3.50%利率托底韩元，反弹阻力1,491，跌破1,461或开启更深回调。

22

Jul 2026

美元/加元小幅升破1.4100，美国威胁对加拿大商品加征50%关税，市场波动加剧

重磅关税冲击下，美元/加元重返1.4100上方并剑指1.4150/1.4250；美进口通胀创纪录、加美年内加息预期升温，期权策略关注波动率上行与加元贬值对冲。

22

Jul 2026

新加坡出口激增、AI驱动电子行业上行周期延续，美元/新元在1.2910附近持续承压

新加坡非油出口6月飙升20.7%、上半年增18.6%远超指引，AI半导体与云资本开支推升电子周期，USD/SGD逼近1.2910；建议做多新元、布局科技期权并对冲关税逆风。

22

Jul 2026

在美伊紧张局势推升避险需求之际，尽管收益率走强，金价仍跃升至4,070美元上方

地缘冲突升级点燃避险交易：金价逆美元与美债收益率走强升至4,071美元，油价同步上行推升通胀预期与“高利率更久”定价，关注4,125阻力及美联储会议。

22

Jul 2026

在美伊紧张局势升温、油价风险强化市场对美联储政策收紧预期之际，美元指数小幅走高

中东冲突升级提振避险美元，DXY升至101.18逼近周高，或测试101.50。油价推升通胀预期，美联储或“更紧更久”。策略：做多美元及原油期权、对冲利率上行风险。

22

Jul 2026

美元/印尼盾因国内因素及标普评级确认而走低；市场预计印尼央行会议将锚定汇率区间于17,940附近

USD/IDR自高位回撤偏国内因素；标普确认BBB、BI紧缩支撑。7月22日MPC成催化，油价高企与外资流入疲弱压制修复。关注17,820—18,000区间。

22

Jul 2026

美元/新元在窄幅区间内交投，1.2860支撑与1.2930阻力构成策略指引

USD/SGD持续窄幅盘整，隐波偏低；主区间1.2895-1.2925，阻力1.2930。破1.2860或触发下探1.2805，宜上收权利金策略并严设止损。

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