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Live Updates

12

Oct 2026

希腊9月HICP通胀加速升至5.1%，推升欧元区通胀率并引发市场震荡

希腊9月HICP同比升至5.1%远超预期，通胀黏性或重塑欧央行降息定价，引发欧元资产波动；策略偏多欧元、关注主权利差走阔并对冲欧股回撤风险。

12

Oct 2026

美国关税冲击显现之际，加拿大就业报告成市场焦点；加拿大央行维持利率不变，美元/加元徘徊于1.42附近

周五加拿大9月就业数据首度体现新关税冲击，新增岗位或小幅回升、失业率料升至6.5%。若偏弱或推升USD/CAD上破1.4232；偏强则重燃加息预期。

9

Oct 2026

美国-加拿大收益率利差收窄，加元兑美元走低，加拿大就业数据公布前市场谨慎

美加收益率利差收窄推升加元，USD/CAD回落至1.4220；但政策分化与油价走弱或令美元重掌主导。聚焦加拿大就业数据，突破1.4355或上探1.4500。

9

Oct 2026

随着特朗普淡化对伊朗打击风险，市场风险偏好回升；美债收益率回落，原油走低，黄金走强

特朗普称选前不攻伊朗提振风险偏好：美股期货上行、WTI逼近90回落、美元走软。沃勒强调仍需加息但节奏灵活，10年美债收益率回落。黄金冲4200；关注加就业与日元波动。

8

Oct 2026

在市场计入12月加息及收益率上行之际，鹰派美联储会议纪要提振美元维持坚挺

FOMC纪要强化年内再加息预期，叠加美债高收益率与拍卖强需推升美元；建议配置USD看涨期权，对冲高贝塔货币下行并适度卖波动率。

8

Oct 2026

欧洲央行穆兰表示欧元区通胀完全由能源因素驱动，否认存在第二轮效应

穆兰称欧元区通胀“100%”由能源冲击驱动且无二轮效应，地缘风险向金融传导；市场反应有限，ECB或转鸽，欧元偏弱、债券收益率下行交易机会显现。

8

Oct 2026

黄金在美联储鹰派会议纪要公布后受益于美债收益率回落，重返4,100美元上方

美债收益率回落带动金价重返4,100美元，FOMC纪要强化加息预期但分歧显现；关注4,100/4,200关键位，央行购金托底，期权区间策略或占优。

8

Oct 2026

美国国债收益率升至数十年高位，收益率曲线信号引导美元走势，市场聚焦美国通胀数据公布前夕

10年期美债收益率飙至5.31%创24年新高、DXY重返102上方；但美元续强关键仍在2年期再度领跑。10月CPI或重定价加息预期，触发突破或回撤。

8

Oct 2026

泰国通胀升至五个月高位，收益率利差持续对泰铢构成压力

泰国9月CPI升至2.8%但低于预期，逼近BOT目标上沿；供给端推升通胀、利率或长期维持1%。美泰10年利差扩至291bp，泰铢承压，建议布局USD/THB反弹期权。

8

Oct 2026

美国国债收益率升至2002年以来新高，霍尔木兹海峡油价飙升推升通胀担忧并提振美元

美债收益率飙至多年高位，霍尔木兹风险推油价重返100美元强化通胀预期；美德利差扩至1.8个百分点支撑美元指数走强，关注债券拍卖与衍生品对冲机会。

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