Live Updates

25

Sep 2026

在美联储鹰派立场及高企收益率持续施压下，黄金跌破4,300美元

【黄金承压】美联储鹰派与长期美债收益率高企支撑美元走强，XAU/USD受制4,300下方偏空；关注4,231破位下探4,105/3,945，反弹至4,320宜布局空头。

25

Sep 2026

受日元走强及干预风险影响抵消市场对澳洲联储加息预期，澳元/日元小幅走低

澳元/日元回落至111.10，日元走强且干预预期升温；日债收益率破3%压缩利差、瓦解套息。澳洲联储加息在即，交叉盘技术偏空，建议配置OTM看跌或熊市价差防御。

25

Sep 2026

道指跌至6月中旬低点，长期国债收益率升至5.50%，美联储鹰派立场持续

美债长端收益率飙升与再度加息预期压制风险偏好，道指三连跌创阶段低位；地缘缓和仅限缩跌幅，油价高企，技术面跌破关键均线。

25

Sep 2026

英镑下跌至三个月低位，英国央行鹰派倾向加重、美联储收紧预期逼近

英银官员转“鹰”难阻英镑走弱，GBP/USD逼近三月新低1.3200；美联储加息预期与数据韧性抬升美元利差，策略偏空瞄准1.3150/1.3100。

25

Sep 2026

墨西哥央行维持基准利率于6.50%，与美联储政策“脱钩”推升比索及利率波动性

墨西哥央行维持政策利率6.50%并调整前瞻指引，强调政策“脱钩”美联储；通胀风险仍偏上行，利率与比索波动或放大，交易员可关注TIIE互换与USD/MXN波动率策略。

25

Sep 2026

COMEX白银库存外流再度引发交割挤兑担忧，纸面持仓超出可交割注册库存

警惕系统性风险：COMEX登记白银“纸/实”杠杆约5:1，单周去库逾700万盎司叠加连续第六年供给缺口，交割挤兑或再度触发逼空。

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