Live Updates

7

Aug 2026

澳元/美元坚守0.7000上方，美元走强；霍尔木兹海峡原油风险与美国非农就业数据成市场焦点

澳元兑美元跌0.36%仍守0.7000，美元指数逼近100压制反弹；霍尔木兹风险推油价却成增长拖累。聚焦中国贸数与非农，期权布局破位与波动。

7

Aug 2026

道指在罕见连续两日突破后回落至布林带上轨内，射击之星形态发出预警

道指连续两日收盘越过2倍布林带上轨并现射击之星，RSI超买且广度中性；历史统计指向1-20日温和回撤2%-4%，宜布局DIA偏空/中性期权对冲。

6

Aug 2026

美联储在分歧投票中维持利率不变，Warsh 缩减前瞻指引；美债收益率上行，通胀信誉遭质疑

7月FOMC按兵不动但内部分歧加剧，Warsh收缩指引引发沟通范式转向。长端利率上行、实际利率近零，黄金走强；建议以跨式、空长债及贵金属期权捕捉波动与通胀风险。

6

Aug 2026

韩国央行通过国内供应与黄金ETF重启购金，央行需求维持高位

全球央行净购金近四年逼近千吨。韩国央行时隔13年重启购金：拟以现货价向本土矿商买金并配置黄金ETF，或收紧流通供给、夯实金价结构性底部。

6

Aug 2026

英镑维持在1.3460附近，受美国就业数据与地缘政治因素影响，英镑/美元维持区间震荡

英镑/美元困守1.3400-1.3500窄幅，NFP前隐含波动率或低估实波动。地缘扰动助推美元，建议平值宽跨式捕捉突破；上破看1.3620，下破警惕1.3250。

6

Aug 2026

在强劲美国就业数据提振下，美元/瑞郎反弹，50日均线守住支撑，关注0.8200水平

USD/CHF受强劲美国就业数据提振反弹0.6%，守住50日SMA0.8052重返0.8100。上行阻力0.8150/0.8207，若破或指向0.8250-0.8300；利差325bp支撑多头，建议期权与期货逢回做多。

6

Aug 2026

英镑兑美元持稳，美国就业数据在非农就业报告发布前保持强劲，霍尔木兹风险仍存

英镑兑美元于关键均线支撑上企稳反弹，市场聚焦今晚非农与中东扰动；建议偏多但控仓，运用跨式及保护性看跌期权管理波动风险。

6

Aug 2026

金价持稳于七周高位附近约4,260美元，受美元走软提振；伊朗谈判及美国就业数据发布在即

金价受美元走弱与收益率下行提振逼近七周高位，叠加伊朗水道谈判与非农前不确定性升温；关注跨式捕捉波动、牛市看跌价差收权利金，警惕超买回撤。

6

Aug 2026

布伦特原油在80美元上方企稳，伊朗—阿曼海峡临时航运协议考验油价与美元情绪

卡塔尔称伊朗与阿曼就航运“原则共识”，仅4–6个月临时安排，市场已部分计价且仍疑虑；若出口恢复油价波动率或下行、DXY偏弱，但破裂风险支撑避险美元。

6

Aug 2026

在非农就业数据公布前夕且干预风险仍存之际，美元兑日元持稳于158.20附近

美元/日元升至158.20，回吐协同干预跌幅；市场聚焦非农与地缘风险，隐含波动率或上行。建议跨式捕捉波动，并以虚值看跌对冲干预回落。

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