Live Updates

11

Aug 2026

受油价与霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势影响，美联储利率前景承压，黄金企稳于两个月高位附近

金价逼近两个月高位后回落，受油价与霍尔木兹风险扰动，美联储9月加息定价再抬头。CPI/PPI前隐波或升，期权跨式与保护性看跌成焦点。

11

Aug 2026

汇丰银行称美日开展日元支撑操作后美元/日元波动区间或将扩大，实际利率为负限制下行空间

日美财长部7月末协同干预压制USD/JPY并警示再出手：汇丰预计汇价在148-156宽幅震荡，波动率抬升；建议以跨式/铁鹰捕捉波动，警惕空头挤压。

11

Aug 2026

中东风险上升推动石油公司走强；欧洲天然气价格飙升，糖和谷物上涨

地缘扰动重塑大宗风险溢价：油价因美伊预期降温、伊拉克装船下滑走强；柴油裂解飙升；欧洲气价反弹库存告急；糖空回补；乌克兰谷物出口下调推涨。

11

Aug 2026

原油价格飙升推升通胀押注，市场静待美国CPI数据；美联储9月加息概率上升

美7月CPI前全球资产区间震荡；油价因霍尔木兹僵局飙升抬升通胀预期，推动9月加息概率超50%。建议布局原油看涨、利率空头对冲与黄金牛差，科技股用跨式捕捉波动。

11

Aug 2026

随着外汇波动率回落，美元指数（DXY）料维持区间震荡；美债供给与CPI数据成研判美联储政策走向关键指标

8月中旬外汇波动率回落，市场对美联储9月加息25bp定价五五开，DXY料99.5-100震荡；然长债收益率上沿叠加企业债供给放量，或触发债市抛售与波动率急升。

11

Aug 2026

黄金多头重拾动能：突破4355/60后上看4495/4500，关注100日均线

黄金突破4355/4360触发买入信号，动能转多，目标先看100日均线4386-4390并上探4495/4500；跌破4382或下破4360则转防守，关注4370及4340/4330买点。

11

Aug 2026

西班牙3个月期国库券拍卖收益率小幅上升，暗示短期融资成本走高

西班牙国库3个月期国库券拍卖收益率升至2.387%，较前次上行2.1个基点；短端曲线温和抬升，暗示短期融资成本走高并牵动欧元区利率预期。

11

Aug 2026

日本干预后日元反弹乏力，美元/日元逼近159关口静待日本央行决议

外汇干预难逆日元弱势，美元/日元159附近回撤40%。9月BoJ加息概率60%成二元事件：按兵不动或冲163；若加息叠加资金回流，日元修复并缓解JGB长端上行。

11

Aug 2026

Anvil 的链上信用证将数字资产支持的赞助资金引入 Blockchain Futurist Conference

Anvil携Blockchain Futurist Conference以数字资产足额担保、智能合约驱动“数字信用证”重塑赞助预留与BNPL流程，打通链上抵押与贸易融资等万亿级市场，催化以太坊交易量与波动上行。

11

Aug 2026

随着油价反弹，卢比走弱；印度及美国通胀数据公布前，美元兑印度卢比走强

油价上行与霍尔木兹风险推升USD/INR至95.40，卢比承压。关注印美CPI引发波动率扩张；建议买入近ATM看涨或牛市价差，对冲贬值并捕捉上破96.00。

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