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Live Updates

12

Oct 2026

美元指数升破200周均线，市场上调美联储加息预期，欧元走弱

美元连涨四周并突破200周均线，因市场上调四季度再紧缩预期；油价上行推升通胀溢价、法国财政风险压制欧元。下周通胀与消费数据及沃什言论成关键。

12

Oct 2026

新元企稳，市场押注金管局收紧政策支撑新元名义有效汇率（S$NEER），美元兑新元测试1.28阻力位

美元走强、油价上行下，新加坡元仍稳：MAS或收紧预期支撑S$NEER偏强。USD/SGD围绕1.28震荡，多头延续但RSI趋平；关注1.2820/1.2840阻力与1.2740/50支撑。

12

Oct 2026

美元延续连续第四周上涨，市场加大对美联储收紧政策的押注，关键数据与油价成关注焦点

美元指数连涨四周上破200周均线，受美联储收紧预期、地缘风险与油价支撑；欧美英日澳汇率承压，多项通胀、就业及央行讲话将引爆波动。

12

Oct 2026

由于美国消费者情绪数据疲软打压美元及美债收益率，黄金走高

美国疲弱数据压低美债收益率与美元，黄金强弹逼近4200关口；密歇根信心下滑且通胀预期回升，市场定价12月加息概率81%，关注地缘风险与均线阻力区间。

12

Oct 2026

美元/日元在日本国债收益率回落、160附近干预担忧挥之不去之际，有望实现连续第四周上涨

USD/JPY受美日利差扩至约225bp支撑逼近158.30，连涨势头强；油价通胀推升美债与加息定价，警惕160关口干预风险，宜用期权对冲。

12

Oct 2026

随着欧盟贸易谈判升温、人民币升值押注增加，中国央行力挺人民币政策

重磅信号：央行发文为外汇政策背书，否认汇率驱动顺差，强调制造业竞争力；中间价偏强、IMF指低估12%—20%，人民币短期升值概率上升，策略聚焦EUR/CNY下行与USD/CNH区间。

12

Oct 2026

美国通胀料将回升，美联储预计按兵不动；英国经济增长走强，亚洲物价上涨

全球宏观周报：美国CPI能源推升、核心温和，联储料按兵不动；二手房与零售降温。英国GDP超预期。印度通胀走高偏鹰，中国CPI回升或延后宽松。

12

Oct 2026

美国石油钻井平台数量增至462座，预示钻探活动温和扩张

贝克休斯显示美国石油钻机增至462座，释放上游资本开支回暖信号；供应预期或上修、WTI上行受限。交易者宜关注库存与OPEC+，配置看跌对冲。

12

Oct 2026

受美债涨势打压美元影响，亚洲货币走势分化；AI驱动出口支撑台湾与韩国

美债走强美元偏弱、科技股回撤下，亚洲外汇波动上行但基本面韧性犹存。台韩出口与顺差强劲支撑TWD/KRW多头；关注欧中磋商与央行表态，CNH期权对冲尾部风险。

12

Oct 2026

星展预计金管局将于10月上调新元名义有效汇率（SGD NEER）政策区间斜率，人工智能驱动的增长支撑美元

星展料MAS10月检讨温和上调SGD NEER斜率、宽度与中枢不变；3Q26 GDP或同比5.4%。新元或走强，宜配置看涨期权及指数衍生品捕捉AI景气，同时严控止损。

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