Live Updates

12

Oct 2026

美元在区间内走强，黄金测试突破，关键阻力与支撑位成市场焦点

美元指数区间震荡，若日线收于102.05上方或强化看涨吞没，关注102.27阻力与101.49支撑。贵金属走强：金价若站稳4202，上看4315-4321缺口及4500目标。

12

Oct 2026

投机者增持日元净多头头寸，CFTC数据显示净多仓升至6.23万份合约

CFTC最新显示日元非商净持仓由55.4K升至62.3K，增6.9K；投机资金净多头加码，市场风险偏好改善信号或引发汇率与利率预期重估。

12

Oct 2026

CFTC数据显示：投机者削减原油看涨押注，净多头持仓降至9.91万手

CFTC数据显示原油非商业净多降至99.1K，较前值回落10.4K。投机资金多头减仓信号显现，市场情绪趋谨慎但净持仓仍为正。

12

Oct 2026

CFTC数据显示：标普500非商业净空头增至-154.1千份合约

惊人转负：CFTC显示标普500 NC净持仓由-14.25万手降至-15.41万手，单周减少1.16万手，净空头敞口扩大，市场下行风险偏好强化。

12

Oct 2026

CFTC数据显示：非商业黄金净多头降至21.03万手，投机敞口回落

CFTC数据显示，黄金非商业净持仓降至210.3千手，较前值回落8.3千手；投机敞口温和收缩，情绪降温，金价短线动能或现拐点。

12

Oct 2026

投机者加大澳元净空头押注，CFTC持仓降至-98.6万份

CFTC数据显示，澳元非商业净头寸降至-98.6K，较前值-63.2K再恶化35.4K；投机资金净空头显著加深，或预示短线看空情绪升温。

12

Oct 2026

特朗普与普京通话刺激俄罗斯柴油出口，令美国炼油裂解价差及WTI原油承压

重磅利空：俄柴油获OFAC放行，30万吨即刻入市、后续月供增量。馏分油裂解价差或快速收敛，炼厂利润下修压制WTI，关注89.50美元支撑。

12

Oct 2026

中国出口和工厂景气指标反弹，提振工业金属及与人民币挂钩衍生品前景

出口与PMI共振上行，港口及航班高频指标转正，上游价格指数抬升而CPI温和。把握工业金属多头、人民币走强与科技工业股指价差机会，同时强化波动对冲。

12

Oct 2026

美元指数在美联储加息概率上升、美国CPI公布前夕受阻于18个月高位下方

美元指数逼近102.25受压102.50高位，市场押注12月加息且关注CPI、褐皮书；美债收益率回落、情绪走弱与加就业骤降推升USD/CAD，短线阻力102.50。

12

Oct 2026

特朗普将俄罗斯柴油供应计划置于聚光灯下，油价回落、美元企稳

特朗普称俄将对美及全球增供柴油：即刻超30万吨，11月续供50万吨并追加100万吨，后续或再300万吨；油价回落后修复，美元小幅走弱。

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