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Live Updates

12

Aug 2026

黄金企稳于4,400美元上方，市场聚焦美国CPI公布；霍尔木兹海峡与红海风险支撑油价

黄金守住4,400美元、原油受地缘冲突及海峡风险支撑，通胀预期升温令美元与收益率走强；CPI发布前宜谨慎，运用期权对冲与波动策略。

12

Aug 2026

API报告美国原油库存增加910万桶，逆市场预期去库并打压WTI油价

API显示8月7日当周美国原油库存意外大增907.2万桶，远超预期去库50万桶，需求降温信号强化，WTI短线或承压3%-5%，看跌期权与价差策略受关注。

12

Aug 2026

美国通过抛售欧元支撑日元以捍卫美元和美国国债，令欧洲央行措手不及

美方罕见以欧元干预支撑日元，回避美元走弱与美债抛压，欧央行事后获悉；日本拟用FIMA回购缓冲减持。信号指向美债供需紧张、长端收益率与外汇波动上行，期权对冲需求升温。

12

Aug 2026

泰国7月通胀低于预期，强化泰国央行暂停加息预期，泰铢企稳

泰国7月CPI同比2.0%低于预期，燃油回落压制通胀，核心仍偏弱。市场押注央行利率长期按兵不动；泰铢短线受金价支撑但年内偏弱，宜用期权对冲。

12

Aug 2026

英镑在英国政治风险缓解、收益率利差改善之际企稳于数月高位附近

英镑/美元逼近多月区间上沿，政治风险溢价下行、风险逆转收敛且下行保护需求降温；英美利差改善支撑偏多。建议卖出虚值看跌，突破则买入看涨价差。

12

Aug 2026

美国CPI公布在即，美元指数持稳于100关口下方；原油与黄金波动受关注

CPI公布前DXY徘徊100下方，通胀放缓预期压制美元。霍尔木兹关闭推升油金波动：建议WTI看涨期权、黄金牛市价差；欧元看涨、美元/日元短期限熊市价差布局。

12

Aug 2026

由于美伊霍尔木兹海峡谈判陷入僵局，油价走高，布伦特原油升至90美元并推升柴油溢价

美伊协议与霍尔木兹重开前景转弱，冲突溢价回归推升布伦特逼近90美元、柴油飙涨及裂解价差破70。策略：近月看涨、做多裂差，配合跨式捕捉波动。

12

Aug 2026

美元指数持稳于99.80附近，CPI、PPI及美联储定价加剧突破风险

美元指数99.80窄幅盘整，夹于200日EMA与100关口；9月FOMC加息/按兵不动近五五开。通胀与财政数据临近，突破行情或一触即发。

12

Aug 2026

在星展上调GDP预测后，新加坡因人工智能驱动的经济活动上调2026年增长前景

新加坡2Q26 GDP上修至5.9%，MTI将2026增速上调至4.5%-5.5%，AI驱动制造与现代服务业领跑；偏紧MAS或利多新元，建议多SGD、做多STI看涨并以虚值看跌对冲外部风险。

11

Aug 2026

在美元走强、油价在美国CPI公布前上涨之际，日元守住159上方

美元/日元重返159上方，干预效应淡化，美元与油价走强支撑。技术偏多，20周期SMA上方。聚焦美国CPI与霍尔木兹风险，建议牛市价差瞄准160.83。

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