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Live Updates

13

Aug 2026

新西兰元/美元下挫，卢克森领导力受压打击纽元大选前走势，数据成市场焦点

纽元兑美元三连跌徘徊0.5860：新西兰大选前政局分裂叠加中东风险推升风险溢价。美CPI指引有限，关注RBNZ通胀预期与PMI；0.5856失守或下探0.5842。

13

Aug 2026

美国7月预算赤字达4320亿美元，扩大财政部融资需求并压制长端国债收益率

预算赤字爆雷：美国7月缺口4,320亿美元超预期860亿，融资需求上修，或推升长端收益率与供给压力；美元承压，股债波动加大，黄金对冲价值凸显。

13

Aug 2026

美元/离岸人民币维持区间震荡，交易员权衡6.7300下行空间与6.7580阻力位

USD/CNH低波动区间震荡，短线锁定6.7430-6.7530；1-3周偏向温和下探6.7300。衍生品宜卖跨式/铁秃鹰收权利金，警惕6.7580上破及EMA6.8430。

13

Aug 2026

CPI公布后美元稳守100关口上方，交易员关注PPI、英国GDP及中东风险

CPI符合预期助美元指数站上100，重磅数据在即或引波动：关注美国PPI、英国GDP；中东风险推升金油，期权对冲与战术布局窗口开启。

13

Aug 2026

欧元/美元回落，受CPI公布后美元反弹提振，能源及中东风险推升避险需求

欧元/美元CPI后冲高回落，美元在能源通胀与地缘避险支撑下反弹，汇价守1.1500、受阻1.1567；波动或放大，期权宜震荡卖涨、破位买跌。

12

Aug 2026

随着美国通胀降温，英镑在1.3500附近企稳；英国GDP数据临近，霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势升温

英镑兑美元受美国CPI符合预期支撑稳守1.35，美联储加息预期再定价；地缘风险升温叠加英国GDP将公布，期权跨式布局关注1.3427支撑与1.3573阻力。

12

Aug 2026

美国CPI公布后，澳元/美元回吐涨幅，企稳于0.7070附近，市场焦点转向PPI

美国CPI温和、核心回落拖累美元，AUD/USD守住0.7060并徘徊0.7070附近；关注PPI指引美联储预期，区间上破或利多澳元期权看涨策略。

12

Aug 2026

NZD/USD下跌，因美国通胀趋稳及地缘政治与新西兰政局因素抑制风险偏好

NZD/USD回落至0.5865，受美国CPI温和、地缘风险与新西兰政局不确定压制；技术面受均线压制，破0.5860或指向0.5825/0.5760，建议配置短期限看跌期权。

12

Aug 2026

道指在美国CPI符合预期后未能守住54,000点，降息押注降温且油价风险上升

7月美国CPI整体符合一致预期，但道指冲高失守54,000点回落至53,800点附近；利率期货上调9月按兵不动至58%。能源地缘扰动推升回撤风险，策略偏空。

12

Aug 2026

由于霍尔木兹海峡通行量仍较正常水平下降88%，运费与供应风险持续高企，油价下跌

霍尔木兹复航后通行量仅恢复至常态12%，实体供应仍显著受阻；油价回落但运价指数走强，期货与实物流量背离。建议守85/80枢轴择机布局看涨。

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