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Live Updates

13

Aug 2026

中东风险令布伦特原油维持在90美元附近，美国通胀数据推动利率与外汇定价调整

中东局势推升布伦特油价守90美元，霍尔木兹扰动或抬升隐波。美通胀黏性再定价，关注PPI与杰克逊霍尔。策略：油看涨、利率熊陡、日元看涨、AI卖put。

13

Aug 2026

英国6月对非欧盟贸易逆差扩大至104.48亿英镑，加剧英镑承压

英国6月对非欧盟贸易收支赤字扩至-104.48亿英镑，环比扩大33.08亿。外需走弱与进口依赖升温，或压制英镑，建议用短期期权对冲并布局波动交易。

13

Aug 2026

受原油供应中断担忧推动美元走强影响，印度卢比小幅走软；美元兑印度卢比受制于20日指数移动平均线下方

美元走强叠加霍尔木兹风险，USD/INR谨慎回升至95.35；但美国CPI或降温、9月加息定价低于50%抑制上行，关注95.30支撑与96.00阻力区间策略。

13

Aug 2026

金价跌破4,400美元，因美国CPI降温带来的提振消退且美元走强施压

金价自4,450美元高位回落、欧市失守4,400；CPI降温提振消退，美元走强与FedWatch定价2026加息概率近80%施压。技术偏多，关注4,400支撑与4,502阻力，期权对冲波动。

13

Aug 2026

英国GDP二季度增长0.6%超预期，制造业产出走弱，英镑走势平稳

英国二季度GDP环比0.6%超预期，同比1.2%提速；6月GDP回升但工业与制造业走弱。英镑短线平淡，市场押注英银转鹰，期权与利率对冲需求升温。

13

Aug 2026

美元/加元持稳于1.3940附近，疲软美国CPI打压美元，油价走弱拖累加元

美元走弱与油价回落对冲，USD/CAD围绕1.3940窄幅震荡。美国7月CPI降温削弱鹰派预期，OPEC/IEA下调需求。建议区间期权策略并配置利率、原油对冲。

13

Aug 2026

英镑小幅逼近1.3500，因美国通胀数据走软拖累美元，市场静待英国GDP数据公布

美CPI降温压制美元、风险偏好升温，GBP/USD逼近1.3500；聚焦美PPI与英Q2 GDP及霍尔木兹风险。期权策略建议短Call/跨式，严守1.3425支撑。

13

Aug 2026

RICS英国房价差值指标7月略有改善，仍深处负值区间

RICS数据显示，英国7月房价净余额-30%，略优于预期-31%；虽仍处负区间，跌势延续但下行压力边际缓和，后续缺乏细分及前瞻指引。

13

Aug 2026

印尼市场上涨，普拉博沃提名德斯特里·达马扬蒂出任央行行长

惊喜提名提振情绪：普拉博沃拟任命Destry掌舵央行，印尼盾稳守18,000、收益率回落；市场押注政策延续与独立性，关注按兵不动并布局互换收固、期权卖涨。

13

Aug 2026

美元通胀降温推动市场押注美联储按兵不动，澳元走弱并静待澳洲联储政策信号

美国CPI降温触发美联储9月定价从“加息60%”转向“按兵不动60%”，AUD/USD回落至0.7061。焦点转向澳洲通胀预期及RBA路径，波动或放大。

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