by VT Markets
Oct 23, 2026
周五亚洲时段，USD/CAD在连续六个交易日下跌后于1.4010附近企稳，仍处于短期与中期均线下方，短线偏空格局未改。由于现汇低于50日指数移动平均线（EMA）1.4069以及9日EMA 1.4091，上述位置构成上方阻力带。动能依旧偏弱：14日相对强弱指数（RSI）约为38；同时，FXS美联储情绪指数（Fed Sentiment Index）在127附近，显示政策环境偏温和且相对稳定，未对技术面基调形成扭转。
支撑方面，汇价正缓步下探至5月21日创下的五个月低点1.3732，更深一档支撑位于1.3481，为自2024年10月以来的最低水平。若USD/CAD先后收复50日EMA并进一步站上9日EMA，市场关注将转向10月14日录得的18个月高点1.4299。
另外，IMF的预测修正显示美加增长差可能扩大：美国今年增速预期上调至2.5%，并在2027年维持在2.1%；加拿大明年增速预计为1.2%，而美国为2.1%。同时，市场亦强调两年期利差作为影响该货币对走势的重要变量。
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