Live Updates

20

Aug 2026

受高油价与FCNR(B)掉期关闭影响，印度卢比承压，美元/印度卢比上看96

美元走软下卢比仍承压：油价高企与进口购汇推升USD/INR；RBI抛汇仅缓冲。FCNR(B)优惠掉期窗口提前关闭削弱外汇流入，建议做多看涨期权/价差，关注95.90-96.00阻力、95.40支撑。

20

Aug 2026

黄金自200日均线反弹，关注4,520关键突破位，未来数周目标指向5,000

黄金反弹巩固6月以来底部、长期升势未破；回调支撑4405-4457。日线收复4520则上看4657/4673，央行持续增持或助中期冲击5000美元。

20

Aug 2026

瑞士7月贸易顺差扩大至83.7亿瑞郎，提振瑞郎前景

瑞士7月贸易顺差升至83.7亿瑞郎，受化工制药出口反弹驱动，净出口显著增强。警惕顺差扩张或推升瑞郎，USD/CHF偏空、期权布局受益。

20

Aug 2026

卢比结束三连跌；美国财政部回购推低美债收益率，缓和美元支撑

反转信号：卢比止跌回升，USD/INR回落至95.62。美财政部回购扩容压低长端收益率、美元偏弱；衍生品建议区间盘整思路，卖出宽跨式94.80-96.00，警惕油价掣肘。

20

Aug 2026

菲律宾金价走软：比索换算随全球金价回落，央行增持支撑后市预期

菲律宾金价周四回落至8,901.44比索/克、103,824.90比索/托拉；FXStreet换算报价同步走低。央行持续增持构筑底部，回调或孕育衍生品多头布局窗。

20

Aug 2026

受美联储会议纪要偏鹰、美元走强影响，金价小幅回落至4,500美元下方；美国财政部回购限制美债收益率上行空间

黄金亚洲回落至4,500美元下方：美联储纪要偏鹰提振美元并触发获利了结，美债回购压低收益率缓冲跌势；关注4,515阻力、4,404支撑，区间震荡可用跨式捕捉波动。

20

Aug 2026

澳元/美元在澳大利亚就业数据疲软后回落至0.7120附近；美联储宽松预期限制下行空间

澳元就业走弱致AUD/USD回落至0.7120，但美元预期降温缓冲；技术结构仍偏多，关注0.7200阻力与0.7034支撑，期权策略把握区间收益。

20

Aug 2026

澳元/日元企稳于周内低点上方，澳大利亚疲弱就业数据削弱市场对澳洲联储加息预期

AUD/JPY受澳洲就业意外走弱与加息预期降温打压后企稳回升；日元因贸易逆差及财政忧虑偏弱限制下行。宏观拉锯下，关注114阻力与112破位期权策略。

20

Aug 2026

日本7月贸易逆差收窄至6345亿日元，强化日元走强及加息预期

日本7月商品贸易逆差6345亿日元，优于预期6800亿。缺口收窄或强化加息预期，支撑日元；关注USD/JPY看跌、日经225期权对冲及10年JGB期货做空。

20

Aug 2026

日本7月贸易逆差收窄至6860亿日元，提振日元前景并强化日本央行偏鹰派立场

日本7月经调整货物贸易逆差收窄至6860亿日元，较前值减少1959亿。缺口缩小或缓解日元贬压，提振偏鹰派预期与做多日元、配置看涨期权机会。

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