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21

Aug 2026

新西兰7月出口降至73.9亿新西兰元，纽元及利率前景承压

新西兰7月出口降至73.9亿纽元（-8.6%），外需与价格承压或拖累贸易收支并压制纽元；关注RBNZ更鸽派定价，NZD/USD宜偏空。

21

Aug 2026

新西兰7月进口跃升至93.4亿新西兰元，加剧贸易逆差担忧并令纽元承压

新西兰7月进口额跃升至93.4亿纽元，贸易逆差扩张或加剧资本外流再定价，纽元面临下行压力；关注做空NZD/USD及短期限看跌期权布局。

21

Aug 2026

英国GfK消费者信心指数好于预期，提振英镑并抑制市场对英国央行降息的预期

英国8月GfK消费者信心指数升至-14，显著优于预期-18，提振内需与增长动能预期；或令英银降息更趋审慎，英镑、短端利率及富时250期权现战术机会。

21

Aug 2026

欧元/美元跌破1.1700，美元因美债收益率走高及美联储加息预期升温而走强

欧元兑美元冲高回落失守1.1700，受美元指数走强与美债收益率反弹压制；美国回购加倍、就业数据偏强及加息预期抬升，短线或引发回调与波动率交易机会。

21

Aug 2026

美国股市下跌，国债收益率反弹，沃尔玛重挫，债务规模突破40万亿美元

美股回吐涨幅，道指跌1.29%失守5.3万点，消费股领跌；10年/30年美债收益率回落。政府债务破40万亿美元、回购或扩容，PMI与杰克逊霍尔成关键催化。

21

Aug 2026

美国财政部将长期国债回购规模翻倍至40亿美元，推动收益率下行并提振金价

美财政部将长端“流动性支持”回购上限翻倍至40亿美元，9月9日至11月4日实施；压低收益率、推动曲线趋平，利多金银，并或触发美债波动升级。

21

Aug 2026

美国联邦债务逼近40万亿美元，赤字、利息成本及私人信贷违约加剧市场压力

美国联邦债务逼近40万亿美元、赤字与利息成本攀升，关税净收入转负；1.4万亿美元私募信贷违约上行触发流动性担忧；金银强势助推避险与衍生品波动。

21

Aug 2026

英镑触及2月高位，美国回购计划提振英镑/美元，英央行通胀立场提供支撑

英镑兑美元升至2月高位，受美元走弱及美债回购近似“隐性收益率曲线控制”提振；若有效突破1.3650/60，或上看1.41，可期权牛市价差布局。

20

Aug 2026

道指下挫，强劲美国数据推动美债收益率攀升；沃尔玛大跌，油价走高

道指53,050点附近回落逾400点；费城联储与就业数据强劲仍难提振风险偏好。美债收益率重启上行、联邦债务破40万亿压估值；建议防御偏空，布局近月看跌及能源看涨期权对冲。

20

Aug 2026

受英国通胀推动英镑走强；在美元走软背景下，市场押注英国央行收紧货币政策

英镑受英国7月通胀升温、市场强化英伦银行年内加息定价提振，GBP/USD触及2月高位；但RSI超买，关注零售销售、PMI与美元回购计划扰动。

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