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13

Oct 2026

欧元兑英镑跌至16个月低点，法国财政担忧加剧且英国关键数据发布在即

欧元兑英镑两周累跌1.7%，逼近16个月低点；法国财政风险溢价推升OAT-Bund利差至137bp。焦点转向拉加德讲话及英国GDP数据，波动或再起。

13

Oct 2026

油价坚守在每桶100美元上方，股市风险偏好持续，本周CPI与银行财报密集来袭

油价高位企稳、欧美股市偏强，市场消化地缘与收益率上行冲击。本周聚焦CPI、银行财报等催化剂；美英长端利率飙升、市场广度收窄，建议用期权与利率衍生品对冲并实施板块轮动。

12

Oct 2026

印度央行推出卢比支持方案，瞄准石油美元需求并加强外汇衍生品监管力度

印度央行祭出稳汇组合拳：设专项美元便利缓解原油进口购汇压力，下调无标的衍生品门槛并禁重簿记，设外汇风险准备金回收流动性，遏制投机。

12

Oct 2026

金价企稳：ETF资金流入创纪录，市场押注美联储加息限制金价反弹至4,217美元附近

金价在美元走弱与地缘风险支撑下获中度托底，但12月加息预期偏鹰压制。ETF三季度净流入创新高、央行购金托底；关注4150支撑与4217阻力，警惕破位。

12

Oct 2026

黄金自周高回落，鹰派美联储提振美元，中东紧张局势持续

黄金自周高回落至4180美元，美元走强叠加美联储鹰派预期压制；中东冲突提供风险溢价。关注CPI/PPI，关键位4220阻力、4100支撑，破位或探4000。

12

Oct 2026

金价在ETF资金流入、中国买盘及中东风险支撑下企稳于4,215美元附近，投资者静待美国CPI数据

黄金亚洲盘站稳4,215美元，美元走弱叠加黄金ETF四年高位净流入与央行增储支撑；中东局势升温推升避险溢价，CPI前波动率或上行。

12

Oct 2026

美元/加元回落至1.4200中段，受油价下挫拖累加元，且美联储与加拿大央行政策分歧令前景蒙阴

美元兑加元自1.4300高位回落至1.42中段；美债收益率下行压制美元，油价走弱拖累加元。BoC偏鸽、Fed偏鹰，叠加地缘风险与通胀数据前瞻，关键位临考验。

12

Oct 2026

在日本假期交投清淡之际，美元/日元回落；日本央行会议及美国通胀数据临近

惊现变盘信号：美元/日元回落至158.10，日假期流动性偏薄；美信心走弱压制美元，CPI/PPI与日央行会议定调，期权策略关注下行与避险。

12

Oct 2026

英镑走强，英国财政纪律与英美关键数据共同塑造英镑兑美元前景

英镑受美元走弱及英国重申财政纪律提振连续走高，GBP/USD维持区间震荡。市场聚焦IMF表态、英美央行讲话、英GDP与美通胀；地缘风险限制美元下行，技术面偏弱。

12

Oct 2026

中国人民银行上调美元/人民币中间价，释放短期内容忍人民币汇率波动区间扩大的信号

钩住市场：央行将USD/CNY中间价上调至6.7313，强于前值且高于路透预测，传递对短期波动容忍度信号；并概述职责、治理及政策工具框架。

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