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25

Sep 2026

在美国国债收益率坚挺的背景下，纽元/美元滞涨于0.5665附近，下行偏向仍受关注

NZD/USD徘徊0.5665动能不足，美债收益率高企与通胀预期升温强化美元利差支撑，汇价或跌破0.5600指向0.5512；策略倾向布局看跌期权及熊市价差。

25

Sep 2026

在美联储紧缩押注推升美元之际，欧元/美元延续周度连跌，市场认为欧洲央行处于两难境地

警惕波动升温：EUR/USD连跌三周回落1.1360，美元偏强与美联储再收紧预期主导；欧央行年内隐含加息33bp。CFTC显示净空收敛偏回补，关注通胀、就业数据与期权对冲。

25

Sep 2026

英镑收窄周度跌幅，美元暂歇；英国预算案与美联储前景令英镑/美元承压

英镑兑美元周五技术性反弹至1.3243，但周跌1.27%且仍处100日均线下方。中东冲突推升油价、美债收益率高企强化美元。关注预算案波动，期权对冲。

25

Sep 2026

美国国债收益率在强劲经济数据推动下攀升，市场严阵以待非农就业数据及美联储潜在加息

美债收益率在韧性数据、高油价与通胀黏性下逼近4.20%，支撑美元并压制利率敏感资产。下周非农成关键事件，初请回落抬升上行风险，强化10月加息定价70%。

25

Sep 2026

美元/日元升势延续，逼近159关口，超买信号浮现，干预风险受关注

美元/日元五连涨至158.83，超买背离叠加动能偏强，短线料158.30-159.00震荡；中期或试159.60并警惕160干预风险，建议期权价差对冲下行。

25

Sep 2026

美元/日元走高，美联储收紧政策指引，日本央行表态含糊且干预风险上升

美联储与日本央行同幅加息，但前瞻偏鹰、利差维持250-275bp推升美元/日元破158。建议以套息交易为主，辅以风险逆转与障碍期权对冲干预风险。

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