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13

Oct 2026

随着停火传闻消退，WTI跌破91美元，交易员关注供应流向及CPI数据

停火传闻引发WTI一度回落至90.55美元，但缺乏官方确认致“和平溢价”迅速再定价；墨西哥湾停产、SPR置换与运输风险支撑油价，关注90-92支撑及CPI/PPI波动。

13

Oct 2026

英镑涨幅收窄，美元在美国CPI数据公布前走强

英镑兑美元回吐涨幅，GBP/USD欧市持平1.3235；美元指数反弹至102.38。市场聚焦周三美国9月CPI：整体料3.7%，核心料2.5%。

13

Oct 2026

鹰派美联储会议纪要令10月加息风险犹存，通胀与政治因素左右美元前景

FOMC纪要偏鹰但滞后于就业与通胀降温，市场押注本月按兵不动、核心CPI环比≤0.2%；若超预期或重定价加息并推升美元，选举僵局或压制走强。

13

Oct 2026

在投资者等待美国CPI之际，金价持稳于4,163美元附近，美元走强抑制涨势

金价冲高回落仍陷4,100–4,200美元箱体，强美元与高美债收益率压制。焦点转向本周美国CPI及美联储利率预期；央行购金与ETF流入支撑下方。

13

Oct 2026

美元和原油走强、美债下挫，引发对跨资产相关性及流动性的审慎关注

美元指数与原油罕见同步上行、美债与黄金承压，跨资产相关性失灵或推升波动；哥伦布日债市休市致流动性扭曲，关注Hammack讲话及2年期美债与股指跷跷板交易。

13

Oct 2026

美元指数企稳于102附近，疲软美国经济数据令市场焦点转向即将公布的CPI数据

美元指数守在102关口以上、主要货币窄幅震荡；疲弱PCE与NFP及美联储谨慎表态压低加息预期。周三CPI与沃什讲话或重塑12月加息定价。

13

Oct 2026

油价震荡推动欧洲利率走势：柴油制裁放松与霍尔木兹海峡油轮风险升温

油价重返105美元、霍尔木兹过境量归零触发避险：欧债收益率回落但财政溢价未退；美欧制裁与配额博弈叠加地缘冲突，冲击全球资产定价。

13

Oct 2026

卢比跳涨，印度央行推出全面外汇支持组合措施，推动美元/印度卢比回落并压低远期溢价

RBI推外汇支持组合拳致USD/INR跌1.2%、卢比反弹：重启石油结算窗口、收紧套保与再预订、限未覆盖交易并售债；短期压降远期溢价，中期仍看油价与资金流。

13

Oct 2026

在CPI数据和银行业绩公布前，受利雅得遇袭推升原油风险溢价影响，美国股指期货小幅走高

欧洲时段美股期指小幅走高，市场在中东地缘冲突推升油价与通胀预期间权衡；信心数据走弱令加息概率回落。财报季叠加CPI/PPI或引爆波动。

13

Oct 2026

由于赤字及全球融资环境趋紧，增长与汇率权衡压力加大，印尼盾承压走弱，美元/印尼盾走高

政策两难叠加经常账户赤字与融资收紧，USD/IDR回升至约17,940；通胀走强、外储回落，需求信号分化；美加息定价与地缘风险推升利率预期。

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