Live Updates

24

Aug 2026

欧元/日元企稳于185.70附近，日本通胀回升推升日本央行加息预期，欧洲央行收紧政策前景在即

EUR/JPY徘徊185.70；日本CPI走强推升BoJ9月加息定价至82%，ECB9月加息概率95%。警惕波动抬升，期权可布局短期限跨式并对冲套息敞口。

24

Aug 2026

大华银行预计，随着收益率差收窄，美元兑日元将维持区间震荡，略偏下行

美元/日元短线仍陷158.55-159.30箱体，方向信号匮乏；UOB中期略偏空，回落受限156.60-159.60。策略上宜售出虚值期权收息，逢上沿轻空防干预。

24

Aug 2026

受收益率控制担忧冲击科技股拖累，美国股市本周下挫；欧洲股市受益于“欧洲杯”带动表现改善

美股尾盘回升但周线收跌，强数据与英伟达预期促空头回补；“贝森特期权”压收益率若失效将抬升AI巨头融资成本。资金或“卖出美国”转向欧股，STOXX600在EPS反弹支撑下仍存约3%上行。

24

Aug 2026

美元走软：英伟达财报与杰克逊霍尔年会临近，比特币与以太坊守住关键支撑位

美元偏弱、权益横盘整固，焦点转向英伟达财报与杰克逊霍尔，或触发波动率抬升。比特币、以太坊守住50周均线偏多；DXY逼近100.50支撑，金属偏强。

24

Aug 2026

在美伊紧张局势与英国零售销售数据拖累下，欧元/英镑震荡走低，关注0.8530支撑位

风险事件升温压制风险偏好，EUR/GBP三连跌至0.8555附近，短线偏空。若失守0.8530将确认0.8585双顶，下看0.8483；策略偏好买入短久期看跌，或卖出虚值看涨套利。

24

Aug 2026

PMI飙升推动美债收益率曲线趋平，布伦特油价攀升，贸易紧张局势施压加拿大与波兰

美债曲线由熊陡转趋平，PMI飙升强化前端上行压力；布伦特逼近95美元并或冲击100。贸易战升级催化做多USD/CAD、做空PLN及配置CDS。

24

Aug 2026

英镑兑美元盘整，GBP/USD瞄准1.3700，1.3585支撑稳固

英镑兑美元冲高1.3675后转入盘整，日内或围绕1.3620–1.3665震荡。未来1–3周维持偏多，看涨测试1.3700；守住1.3585支撑为关键，否则重回宽幅区间。

24

Aug 2026

在美国准备对伊朗实施制裁、交易员警惕供应冲击之际，WTI油价下滑逼近85美元

WTI回落逾2%至85美元附近；美国酝酿“经济版D日”对伊朗制裁引发供应中断溢价。伊朗威胁封锁出口，库存去化支撑油价，建议运用看涨期权与裂解价差对冲波动。

24

Aug 2026

全球股市走高，强劲PMI数据支撑周期板块领涨，尽管油价上涨与美元贬值风险犹存

全球股市周五反弹但周度分化：美股偏弱、北欧领强。油运风险、AI资本开支、美元贬值与强宏观共振；VIX约15.5，顺周期占优，衍生品宜轻防御布局。

24

Aug 2026

美国通胀降温削弱市场对美联储加息预期，伊朗风险持续，金价触及三个月高位

黄金上破4,650美元创阶段新高，弱通胀压低美债收益率与美元、降温短期紧缩预期提振金价；关注PCE与杰克逊霍尔表态及霍尔木兹风险，谨慎乐观操作。

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