Live Updates

7

Oct 2026

欧元/美元在FOMC会议纪要与法国预算风险影响下维持于1.1255附近，区间震荡格局延续

警惕FOMC纪要与法国财政风险共振：EUR/USD料维持1.1180-1.1255区间震荡；若纪要偏鹰美元反弹，建议跨式捕捉波动并配置欧元虚值看跌对冲下破。

7

Oct 2026

在人工智能出口热潮与能源供应稳定支撑下，亚洲货币走强，新台币与韩元领涨

抓住亚洲外汇韧性：AI出口景气叠加成品油供给缓冲，支撑货币相对跑赢。拉美套息平仓扰动降温，资金或回流，重点关注TWD、KRW，次选SGD、MYR。

7

Oct 2026

银行警示油价波动与法国OAT国债市场震荡，欧元兑美元走弱，选择通过期权逢低布局对冲抛售潮

欧元走软受高能源成本与法国OAT财政风险牵制，10月前仍承压但未至系统性危机；美元涨势与仓位过度伸展，机构以零成本风险逆转押注年末美元回落。

7

Oct 2026

加拿大8月录得42亿美元贸易顺差，能源出口在美国新关税实施前大幅激增

加拿大8月贸易逆转42亿美元顺差，能源提振叠加对美抢运驱动出口。油价续涨巩固加元走强逻辑，建议短端加元看涨期权及跨期日历价差布局。

7

Oct 2026

油价供应前景打压加元，加拿大就业数据公布前美元/加元走低

美元/加元回落至1.4240，油价因供应修复与G7释储承压拖累加元；美国就业韧性支撑美元。关键在加劳动力数据与BoC加息预期或重估，偏多美元/加元。

7

Oct 2026

美国非农就业数据疲弱削弱美联储10月加息概率，市场转向关注9月CPI及美元走势前景

爆冷非农走弱压降10月加息定价，美元短线承压；市场转盯10月14日CPI验证软着陆。策略：减持美元多头、布局跨式捕波动，逢低滚动建中期多。

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