Live Updates

7

Oct 2026

植田和男暗示有条件收紧政策，美元/日元维持在158；市场计入10月加息概率

日银植田释放依赖数据的再紧缩信号，美元/日元守158关口；市场仅计入10月加息25%。工资与FOMC纪要或触发重定价，警惕日方干预致急跌。

7

Oct 2026

美元指数跌破102，欧元与澳元走强，油价在美联储会议纪要公布前下跌

美元指数失守102引发做空期权机遇，风险偏好回升；欧元、英镑、澳元走强，日元宜区间策略；黄金受益走软美元，WTI跌破87需对冲。

7

Oct 2026

市场聚焦日本央行10月报告，日元走弱，期货市场计入约四分之一的加息概率

隔夜期货仅隐含日央行10月加息概率约26%，但东京核心通胀回升或促报告提前2%达标时点，叠加美日利差2.75个百分点与157支撑博弈，日元重定价在即。

7

Oct 2026

戴利警示：关税、AI芯片与油价冲击或致通胀黏性上升，美联储不排除进一步收紧货币政策

戴利力挺9月加息，称关税、AI芯片瓶颈与中东油价冲击或推升通胀黏性；交易员宜聚焦短端利率对冲、熊市趋平与商品期权双重防御。

7

Oct 2026

加元企稳，魁北克省选举与阿尔伯塔省公投令政治风险持续受关注

加元兑美元持平，魁北克少数派执政与独立公投承诺加剧中期政治溢价；阿尔伯塔10月19日公投成新焦点。USD/CAD超买现反转信号，1.42承压，1.40或面临回落。

7

Oct 2026

受美国国债收益率回落影响，澳元兑美元小幅走高，交易员关注FOMC会议纪要及关键支撑位

AUD/USD随美债收益率回落小幅反弹，但美澳利差走阔、RBA加息预期偏弱，偏空格局未改；紧盯FOMC纪要，逢高做空，0.6965失守或指向0.6900。

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