Live Updates

7

Sep 2026

英镑兑日元跌至六个月低点，市场计入日本央行9月加息预期

英镑/日元失守210并跌破209至半年低位，市场激进重估日本央行9月加息25bp甚至更大及干预预期推升日元；建议逢高做空，配置短期限看跌期权或价差。

7

Sep 2026

欧元区Sentix投资者信心指数升至5.1，尽管美元回升仍提振欧元前景

欧元区9月Sentix升至5.1并站上5关口，确认情绪拐点与风险偏好修复；欧元短线受美元走强回撤，后续或支撑EUR/USD中期上行，可关注期权价差策略。

7

Sep 2026

中东欧数据及央行表态考验利率预期，兹罗提与克朗承压

中东欧经济数据与央行决议密集落地：匈牙利通胀或回升、罗马尼亚回落；波兰与土耳其料维持利率。若市场再定价，利差收窄或推升欧元兑克朗、兹罗提。

7

Sep 2026

澳元升至三个月高位，GDP提振市场对澳洲联储加息预期；美国CPI数据待公布

澳元兑美元升至0.7217创三月新高，二季度GDP强化RBA加息预期；关注副行长讲话与美国CPI/PPI。建议期权做多，目标0.7275，止损0.7079。

7

Sep 2026

劳埃德房价指数8月下滑，英国楼市降温并拖累英镑

英国8月劳埃德房价指数环比意外降0.2%，显著不及增长预期，强化楼市降温信号；英镑或承压，市场或上调英国央行年内降息定价，地产股衍生品偏空。

7

Sep 2026

德国7月工业产出下降1.6%，推动市场上调对欧洲央行降息的预期

德国7月工业生产同比转降1.6%，制造业衰退加深。数据或迫使欧洲央行更激进降息：策略上偏空EUR/USD与DAX，并关注做多Bund期权获取避险收益。

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