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26

Jun 2026

卢比保持稳定，债券资金流入与印度央行逆势干预推动债券反弹，抑制美元上行压力

卢比周内持平但受外资净流入逾60亿美元支撑跑赢同业；RBI驳斥再收紧预期致国债走强、收益率下行。关注1Y OIS接收固定及美元/卢比区间策略机会。

26

Jun 2026

奥地利制造业PMI回落，欧元区工厂景气动能降温，推升股市及欧元对冲需求

警惕欧洲制造业降温：奥地利6月制造业PMI降至50.9、扩张放缓；欧元区与德国订单同步走弱。建议偏防御，买入ATX看跌期权、做空欧元、做多德债期货。

26

Jun 2026

英镑/美元维持在1.3200上方：美元走软抵消英国政治风险，空头偏向仍存

英镑/美元温和反弹仍乏持续性：美元回落提供支撑，但英国政治风险与疲弱GDP压制，技术面受制1.3384，短线偏空，策略逢高做空并配置1.3100下方Put。

26

Jun 2026

德国商业银行Baur：尽管油价走软且通胀预期降温，美联储加息押注仍将支撑美元

油价回落未撼动加息定价：市场仍押注美联储年内再加息、利率近2.5%，而欧央行更偏近终点；美国GDP与核心通胀韧性支撑美元强势延续。

26

Jun 2026

布伦特油价因霍尔木兹海峡船只遇袭飙升，供应流量恢复之际欧佩克配额紧张局势加剧

霍尔木兹遇袭消息提振布油反弹逾2%，但运输量回升与OPEC内部分歧强化2027供给过剩预期。OVX飙升，建议配置期权长跨式以捕捉波动。

26

Jun 2026

英镑/美元在1.3200附近小幅走高，疲软的美国通胀数据抵消英国政局动荡影响

英镑/美元徘徊1.3200：美国通胀偏软压低加息预期，美元回落；但霍尔木兹风险支撑避险。英国政治真空推升隐波与风险溢价，反弹1.33-1.335宜逢高做空。

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