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30

Jun 2026

欧元/美元小幅走低，德国通胀降温且欧洲央行释放进一步收紧政策可能信号

德国通胀降温压制欧元/美元，晚间德国CPI初值存下行风险；拉加德否认“保险式”加息，掉期仅计价9月前有限收紧。汇价受阻关键位，低波动促区间与卖权策略。

30

Jun 2026

美元/加元回吐涨幅，加拿大4月GDP高于预期提振加元，尽管美元保持坚挺

加4月GDP环比0.5%超预期推升加元，美元/加元冲高回落至1.4200；但美联储加息预期与美元韧性对冲，区间震荡或抬升隐含波动率。

30

Jun 2026

随着伊朗谈判不确定性抵消霍尔木兹海峡通行量回升及需求前景转弱影响，WTI原油徘徊于71美元附近

WTI震荡走高，市场博弈美伊谈判不确定与供应偏紧；霍尔木兹航运回升压低中长期预期，API库存超预期下降、国内PMI走弱，OPEC+会议与EIA数据成关键催化。

30

Jun 2026

美国6月消费者信心回升，但就业前景趋弱，提振降息押注并推动美元反弹

美国6月消费者信心微升至91.2受油价回落支撑，但“工作难找”升至22.5%警示就业降温；降息预期或被低估，利率期权与防御股、美元对冲可布局。

30

Jun 2026

JOLTS职位空缺数据超预期，美元指数反弹，美联储加息押注升温

JOLTS职位空缺759.4万超预期印证劳动力市场韧性，强化美联储偏鹰加息定价；美元指数反弹逼近101.50，欧元/美元弱势，期权宜布局美元看涨、欧元看跌。

30

Jun 2026

道明证券看好加元，稳健数据铺垫美元/加元回落至1.40下方

TD Securities称加拿大增长数据超预期支撑加元，美元/加元FOMC后“过度拉伸”或回落；以2个月1.4050/1.39看跌价差押注跌破1.40，1.42上方持续性有限。

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