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Live Updates

1

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎在0.8070附近企稳，月末美元走软，多头瞄准突破0.8139上方

美元/瑞郎月末资金流致美元回软后企稳，但中期多头仍占优：美数据强劲与政策分化支撑美元、瑞央行偏鸽抑制瑞郎；关注0.8100/0.8139突破，策略以0.9100看涨期权布局上行。

1

Jul 2026

纽元兑美元因新西兰信心数据提振小幅走高，但在美国就业数据公布前仍承压

纽元兑美元因新西兰企业信心跃升与美元回落短线反弹至0.5677，但月跌仍逾5%。NFP在即或重塑降息定价，技术承压下行风险占优。

1

Jul 2026

美元/日元徘徊于数十年高位附近，收益率差支撑套息交易，尽管日本当局警告或将出手干预

突破162后美元/日元徘徊162.65：美日约250bp利差支撑套息与强美元，口头干预难改趋势；警惕非农引发波动，宜用看涨期权/价差控风险。

1

Jul 2026

欧元持稳：月末资金流动抵消强于预期的美国数据影响，市场聚焦美联储与欧洲央行政策分化

月末再平衡抑制美元冲高，欧元短线反弹但仍受美欧政策分化与降息路径博弈主导；非农将成波动引爆点，建议以跨式期权布局。

1

Jul 2026

尽管英国经济增长放缓，英镑仍小幅走高；市场对美联储进一步收紧政策的押注持续施压英镑/美元

英镑兑美元小幅反弹至1.3270附近，但英国GDP与零售走弱、技术面偏空；美国JOLTS及信心回升叠加美联储偏鹰预期，政策分化或驱动GBP/USD下行。

1

Jul 2026

随着市场重新计价美联储鹰派立场及美元走强加剧季度跌势，黄金自七个月低点反弹

黄金跌深反弹仍偏空：季度累跌18%创2013以来最差，强美元与鹰派加息预期压制；关注非农引发波动，4,300逢高做空，失守4,000或下看3,885/3,750。

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