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17

Jul 2026

美元兑人民币因美国通胀降温及中国央行中间价上调而走弱，人民币升值偏好增强

美国通胀降温压制美元，美联储收紧预期降温；叠加人行偏强中间价与贸易顺差，USD/CNY或下探6.72–6.74，但国内偏弱基本面或限制升值斜率。

17

Jul 2026

在欧元区通胀数据公布前，美国经济数据走强提振美元，欧元兑美元回落至1.1440附近

欧元兑美元回落至1.1440，受美国就业与零售数据韧性支撑美元；欧元区通胀若走弱或引发抛压。策略：买入短期看跌/熊市价差，关注1.1413破位与波动率。

17

Jul 2026

欧中贸易逆差达3760亿欧元，布鲁塞尔考虑于10月启用贸易防御工具

欧中12个月贸易逆差5月升至3760亿欧元、同比增8%。三个月磋商窗口至10月工具或落地，波动料上行；关注EUR/CNH期权与欧股汽车新能源对冲配置。

17

Jul 2026

金价跌破4,000美元，美元走强及油价主导的通胀担忧推升美国国债收益率

黄金跌破4000美元，受美元走强、美债收益率上行及油价推升通胀预期压制。关注3974破位风险，下看3941/3900；若上破4125-4175，空头逻辑或逆转。

17

Jul 2026

受伯纳姆内阁相关报道影响英镑走低，强劲GDP数据支撑GBP/USD多头仍瞄准1.3650

英镑兑美元因政治不确定性回落，但技术反转结构与期权风险逆转偏多支撑上行；把握回调窗口，衍生品布局多头，目标重测1.3650关键阻力位。

17

Jul 2026

在油价飙升背景下，市场对欧洲央行加息押注与日元避险买盘交织，欧元/日元在一个月高位附近企稳

EUR/JPY回落至185.80，地缘冲突推升油价与通胀预期，欧央行偏鹰支撑欧元、避险提振日元。警惕日方干预临界点，宜布局波动率策略与OTM看跌期权。

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