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17

Jul 2026

韩国央行加息至2.75%，芯片板块波动加剧促使监管部门收紧对杠杆型ETF和ETN的管控

韩国央行意外加息25bp至2.75%，上修增长与核心通胀预期；监管收紧存储芯片杠杆ETF/ETN致股汇波动放大。衍生品宜布局短跨式与韩元障碍对冲。

17

Jul 2026

美元/日元在163下方停滞，日元干预效应减弱，CPI与美联储成市场焦点

美元/日元162.50下方窄幅震荡，利差275bp支撑但干预阴影犹存；波动率收敛致期权偏廉，建议跨式布局，紧盯日本CPI与美联储决议突破163关口。

17

Jul 2026

WTI油价跌破79美元，尽管中东风险犹存且供应充裕，80美元关口仍构成压制

WTI三冲80美元未果回落，技术面上行乏力；全球供给宽松与OPEC凝聚力走弱压制风险溢价。若守不住78/77.5支撑，或下探76；短线宜逢高做空严设止损。

17

Jul 2026

在通胀前景趋缓及美国数据支撑美元走强之际，澳元/美元在0.7000附近区间震荡

AUD/USD连续四日横盘0.7000，受50日EMA压制，动能趋弱。通胀预期回落令澳洲联储偏鸽；叠加中美政策与数据扰动，市场偏向下行，关注0.6900支撑。

17

Jul 2026

英镑走弱，因美国数据提振美元；市场关注下周英国通胀与劳动力数据考验

英镑本月重挫，GBP/USD冲击1.3550受阻回落至1.35下方；技术超买叠加英弱美强与政经不确定，隐波或上行，关注1.3450/1.34支撑及期权对冲。

17

Jul 2026

英镑兑日元自18年高位回落，日元走强，市场关注218.00支撑位

GBP/JPY冲击220.00未果回落至218.80，趋势仍偏多但RSI降温。关注218.00得失；破位宜用看跌期权对冲干预风险，守稳可布局看涨及区间价差策略。

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