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17

Jul 2026

英镑/日元自219高位回落，套息交易吸引力仍存但日元干预担忧升温

英镑/日元高位回调但下行受限：275bp利差支撑套息与趋势延续，干预仅短暂扰动。建议结构性期权逢低布局，待确认突破219再加仓。

17

Jul 2026

美国股指期货下挫，密歇根消费者信心指数公布前中东紧张局势升温引发避险交易

中东地缘风险升温叠加密歇根信心数据前调仓，美指期货普跌、半导体走弱且奈飞盘后挫；关注红海扰动推升油价，配置原油/VIX看涨及科技保护性看跌对冲。

17

Jul 2026

随着市场对欧洲央行加息押注升温，欧元兑英镑反弹逼近0.8500，套期保值收益占优

欧元兑英镑自13个月低点温和反抽重返0.8500，但周线或四连跌。风险偏好回暖叠加押注欧央行9月加息；建议短期买EUR/GBP看涨并以GBP看跌对冲。

17

Jul 2026

欧元/美元在上涨后进入盘整，欧元偏强格局不改，1.1520阻力位仍为关注焦点

EUR/USD冲高回落转入1.1420-1.1465震荡，短期偏多但上行动能存疑；关注1.1520阻力与1.1405支撑。盘整期宜用铁秃鹰，失守则转防御。

17

Jul 2026

美元指数跌破关键斐波那契回撤位，通胀趋缓抵消地缘政治引发的能源风险

美元指数回落受制100.83，CPI/PPI走软降温加息预期；美伊紧张推升能源通胀对冲支撑美元。关注100.55破位下看100.22/99.72；突破101.00或指向101.80，建议区间用跨式/价差。

17

Jul 2026

欧元/加元在1.6070附近企稳，欧元区通胀降温与油价走强支撑加元

警惕EUR/CAD下行：欧元区通胀降温或促ECB偏鸽，欧元承压；油价受中东风险支撑提振加元。建议中旬到期看跌或熊市价差，目标1.5900。

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