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28

Sep 2026

在美债收益率攀升之际，人工智能驱动的科技股力撑美国股市，考验其历史韧性

美债收益率攀升叠加地缘与偏紧货币政策，股市未必回撤。AI景气支撑美股韧性，建议偏多科技指数：标普牛市价差、做多纳指并以小盘看跌对冲。

28

Sep 2026

英镑守住三个月低位上方，但看跌动能持续对英镑兑美元施压

英镑兑美元守住1.3204低位暂企稳，但反抽受阻1.3266，技术面偏空且存“诱多”风险；若失守1.3193/1.3150，或加速下探1.3080。

28

Sep 2026

油价上涨推升全球债券收益率，美国股票风险溢价收窄

油价反弹叠加美伊谈判不确定性推升全球收益率，金融条件趋紧；标普500盈利收益率跌破美债，权益风险溢价受挤压。对冲宜用认沽及价差，关注利率与油价期权机会。

28

Sep 2026

道明证券认为，随着PCE通胀保持坚挺，美联储在10月加息的可能性上升

TD Securities称，在央行偏鹰指引下，10月加息概率上行；PCE通胀韧性、ISM回暖支撑紧缩，两次加息或在10月与明年1月，取决通胀降温及就业韧性。

28

Sep 2026

随着美联储与加拿大央行利差扩大，尽管油价走强，美元/加元仍攀升至7月高位

美元/加元续创新高，受美联储偏鹰与加拿大央行按兵不动推升美加利差；油价反弹未能有效提振加元。关注加GDP、PCE与非农，期权策略捕捉波动。

28

Sep 2026

墨西哥8月贸易顺差超预期，夯实出口增长动能并支撑比索走势预期

墨西哥8月贸易顺差达6.05亿美元大超预期，净出口正贡献凸显出口韧性与近岸外包支撑；或利多MXN，建议做空USD/MXN、配置比索看涨期权。

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