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3

Sep 2026

土耳其8月通胀降至31.51%，低于市场预期，影响降息预期

土耳其8月CPI同比31.51%低于预期0.11个百分点，通胀仍超30%。紧缩效应显现，市场押注降息窗口开启；USD/TRY波动率或下行，利率互换与BIST100期货具交易机遇。

3

Sep 2026

卢比走强，印度央行FCNR资金流入提振外汇储备；美元/印度卢比随美元走软及强劲GDP数据回落

卢比延续反弹，USD/INR跌近94.28；RBI FCNR(B)吸引1363.8亿美元推升储备叠加美元走软。经济数据强劲，建议做空USD/INR并警惕超卖反弹风险。

3

Sep 2026

金价企稳于4,450美元下方，加息预期与中东紧张局势左右需求

黄金XAU/USD受美债收益率回落及ADP疲弱支撑，仍受制4,450美元；市场定价9月加息概率62%、油价推升通胀与地缘风险并存，非农或触发突破。

3

Sep 2026

在美国数据、美联储加息押注及海湾地区紧张局势影响下，欧元兑美元稳定于1.1590附近

EUR/USD徘徊1.1590，聚焦ISM与非农。沃什鹰派推升9月加息定价，叠加中东风险强化美元避险；欧央行亦偏鹰但油价压制欧元，建议防御性做空。

3

Sep 2026

爱尔兰AIB服务业PMI微升至55.4，强化扩张态势并支撑欧洲央行审慎立场

爱尔兰AIB服务业PMI 8月升至55.4，扩张动能延续。服务业韧性或强化通胀黏性，促使欧洲央行降息更趋审慎，欧债收益率与欧元上行动能值得关注。

3

Sep 2026

英镑兑日元下挫，干预担忧加剧，GBP/JPY跌破100日移动均线

英镑/日元跌破100日均线、RSI转弱，214关口告急；市场计入日本或再度外汇干预风险，日元走强或引发进一步下探至213、209。

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