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3

Sep 2026

纽元下挫：新西兰联储加息符合预期，但利率路径更趋温和引发市场大幅重新定价

RBNZ如期加息至2.75%，但前瞻指引偏鸽触发利率路径重估，纽元急挫至200日EMA附近；通胀结构受能源驱动，关注0.5800支撑及美中数据催化。

3

Sep 2026

美元/日元自160回落，干预传闻再起，市场聚焦日本央行与美国经济数据

美元/日元短破160后回撤至158.50，干预传闻扰动但趋势未改；巨大日美利差支撑套息回流。关注美数据、日央行决议与期权看涨布局。

3

Sep 2026

英镑跌破1.3500关口，因英国国债供给担忧升温且美联储加息预期提振美元

英镑跌破1.3500并回吐8月涨幅，尽管英债收益率飙升。MPC决议叠加国债供给引发担忧；美元在通胀黏性及加息预期升温下走强，汇价或延续下探。

3

Sep 2026

随着中东风险溢价持续，WTI油价维持在六周高位附近，市场关注转向OPEC+

WTI在中东紧张与EIA库存大降提振下逼近六周高位89.70美元，但90-92美元技术阻力压制上行；供应回升、OPEC+或按兵不动，建议85-92区间中性期权策略收取权利金。

3

Sep 2026

英镑跌至三周低点，中东紧张局势与美联储鹰派立场推高收益率并维持高位

英镑跌至三周低点，中东冲突推升油价强化通胀预期；尽管ADP偏弱，美债收益率受美联储鹰派支撑高企。英国12月加息预期升温，波动交易窗口开启。

3

Sep 2026

加拿大央行维持基准利率在2.25%不变，能源通胀与贸易风险引发偏鹰派谨慎立场

加拿大央行维持隔夜利率2.25%却转向鹰派：通胀与能源、关税及地缘风险推升加息概率；建议用CORRA期货、熊陡与跨式期权对冲利率上行与波动。

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