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29

Sep 2026

澳元兑美元在澳洲联储加息后走弱，美债收益率上行提振美元，看跌期权需求升温

RBA加息至4.60%难撑澳元，AUD/USD冲高回落至0.6990并受均线压制；美元受美债收益率与紧缩预期提振。抓住0.7000失守契机，布局0.6950短期限看跌期权。

29

Sep 2026

美国消费者信心下滑，美元在收益率攀升及地缘政治紧张局势加剧的背景下升至数周高位

消费者信心骤降至81.9、预期连跌且美元指数攀至101.45附近：波动或放大。把握窗口，外汇偏多美元期权，对冲标普看跌/VIX看涨，布局美债与黄金期权。

29

Sep 2026

美国JOLTS职位空缺低于预期，风险偏好回升及收益率支撑推动美元走强

JOLTS显示美国8月职位空缺降至707.9万，低于预期，劳动力降温信号明确；雇用与离职平稳。数据提振美元指数创新高，政策端或重估降息路径。

29

Sep 2026

美国房价高于预期，强化美联储“更高利率维持更久”预期并提振美元

美国7月HPI环比升0.3%超预期，楼市韧性推升通胀粘性，强化美联储“更高更久”利率路径；利率敏感资产承压、国债收益率或上行，美元获基本面支撑。

29

Sep 2026

加拿大7月GDP停滞，令加元承压，并强化市场对加拿大央行降息的押注

加拿大7月GDP环比零增长，增长动能停滞压制BoC偏鹰空间；市场押注降息概率升至75%。加元或承压、USD/CAD上行，TSX波动抬升，期权策略受益。

29

Sep 2026

波斯湾紧张局势推升油价维持高位，美联储与欧洲央行加息支撑美元走强、收益率走高

波斯湾危机延宕推升油价与通胀预期，债市收益率四季度或高位徘徊；美欧央行12月或各加息25bp。策略：做多原油、做空债券、偏多AI、看多美元、压制黄金。

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