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18

Aug 2026

墨西哥比索走弱，美元重返17.00关口，市场静待墨西哥央行会议纪要及零售销售数据

墨西哥比索止跌回调，USD/MXN重返17关口；美国通胀与零售走弱压制美元但避险支撑。Banxico纪要与墨西哥零售将触发波动，建议短期期权跨式及偏空配置。

18

Aug 2026

欧元兑美元蓄势突破，美元指数下跌至100关口下方，期权市场聚焦美联储暂停加息及欧洲央行鹰派立场

美元指数失守100触发量化抛压，EUR/USD上破1.1614后宜以虚值看涨或牛市价差博取1.1700；警惕中东能源冲击与HICP、纪要共振，跨式布局波动。

18

Aug 2026

澳元/美元升破0.7100，美元走软令市场焦点转向澳大利亚就业数据，空头仓位持续累积

AUD/USD突破0.7100创两月新高，美元走弱与加息预期降温提振；但CFTC净空头升至3.92万张埋下挤压导火索，关注澳就业与PMI决定上行延续。

18

Aug 2026

黄金动能减弱，测试 0.618 阻力弧线；空头瞄准 4,415 美元支撑区间

黄金30分钟图测试0.618阻力弧，动能衰减偏中性偏空；若受阻，或回撤至4,415。上破并站稳4,428则策略失效，关注0.786弧；央行购金支撑牛市。

17

Aug 2026

比特币逼近6.4万美元，黄金测试4,500美元；期权策略瞄准XRP与狗狗币底部支撑位

行情聚焦：BTC逼近6.4万美元，期权OI约300亿美元支撑缓慢上行；XRP围绕1美元波动率挤压宜卖权利金；DOGE守0.070可构建牛市看跌价差；黄金上探4500或牵动流动性再配置。

17

Aug 2026

金价逼近8月高位，疲软美国数据拖累美元；交易员关注美联储会议纪要

金价逼近8月高位稳守4,400美元，受美国零售与信心疲弱压制美元、降温9月加息预期提振；叠加地缘风险与央行高位购金，关注FOMC纪要指引。

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