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19

Aug 2026

美元指数小幅走低，全球收益率同步上行，美联储维持利率不变预期升温

长端美债收益率飙升至近20年高位但DXY反应钝化，受全球收益率同步上行与美联储偏鸽预期压制，技术受阻99.75，策略偏空看99.25/98.75。

19

Aug 2026

道指下跌：美联储加息概率降温，但长端美债收益率飙升，拖累住房市场与股市

美联储12月加息预期降温但长端收益率飙升：30年美债约5.3%创高，道指回落至5.34万。住房数据转弱、油价守85美元；关注纪要与PMI波动。

18

Aug 2026

欧元/英镑回落至0.8550附近，ZEW提振效应消退，英国CPI数据临近

EUR/GBP回落至0.8550，德国及欧元区ZEW超预期未延续欧元强势；英国失业率高于预期、就业放缓，市场聚焦明日CPI。技术面阻力0.8553/0.8559。

18

Aug 2026

在伊朗紧张局势推升美元之际，纽元/美元回落至0.5880附近，市场聚焦美联储会议纪要

美伊紧张推升避险情绪，NZD/USD回落至0.5880；市场下调美联储加息定价至35%。RBNZ加息预期仍存但通胀降温，期权与利率互换对冲波动。

18

Aug 2026

英镑企稳：中东风险对冲疲软美国经济数据，英国CPI与美联储会议纪要公布前市场观望

英镑兑美元1.3547横盘，地缘紧张与数据分化拉锯。英CPI与FOMC纪要成催化剂；建议牛市看涨价差瞄准1.3603，回撤1.3502/1.3414布局，1.3381下止损。

18

Aug 2026

道明证券预计在供应紧张、霍尔木兹海峡风险及成品油库存偏低的背景下，布伦特原油将维持在每桶90美元以上

供给偏紧叠加霍尔木兹风险，TD上调布伦特高位预期：2026年前难回常态，三个月或再涨5–10美元，重返100概率升；建议配置看涨期权、做多波动率并做多裂解价差。

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