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20

Aug 2026

受英国通胀推动英镑走强；在美元走软背景下，市场押注英国央行收紧货币政策

英镑受英国7月通胀升温、市场强化英伦银行年内加息定价提振，GBP/USD触及2月高位；但RSI超买，关注零售销售、PMI与美元回购计划扰动。

20

Aug 2026

美国四周期国库券收益率小幅上行至3.64%，短端融资成本略有抬升

四周期T-Bill中标收益率升至3.64%，较前期抬升1.5bp，释放美元短端流动性边际趋紧信号；STIR及SOFR期货料再定价，建议熊市趋平与看跌期权对冲。

20

Aug 2026

贝森特暗示扩大美债回购规模，预计财政赤字将见顶并推进财政整顿在即

贝森特称或将美债回购扩至40亿美元以上释放收益率偏离信号，否认利率驱动；赤字或见顶转向财政整固，并与美联储协同管理流动性。

20

Aug 2026

在霍尔木兹海峡风险与美伊紧张局势支撑油价风险溢价下，WTI油价攀升逼近86美元

WTI周四收涨至85.85美元，地缘冲突推升风险溢价；霍尔木兹与曼德海峡航运约束、对伊朗制裁趋严支撑看涨期权策略，关注87.38阻力、85支撑。

20

Aug 2026

瑞典央行维持利率在1.75%不变，通胀趋稳回升，提示地缘政治风险并暗示年末可能加息

瑞典央行维持政策利率1.75%。核心通胀近2%且夏季数据超预期，劳动力走弱、定价温和。中东局势扰动有限但不确定性升温，年内仍保留加息选项。

20

Aug 2026

埃及央行维持利率19%不变，政策制定者在通胀风险与经济增长之间寻求平衡

埃及央行维持政策利率走廊锚定19%不变，符合预期；紧缩取向延续，融资成本高企、信贷偏紧持续，通胀与增长权衡再成市场焦点。

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