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20

Aug 2026

美国国债借款冲击打压美元，交易员关注澳元兑美元与英镑兑美元再度做空；聚焦铜价及KRE指数反转

美财政部再融资预期加剧债务供给担忧，美元指数承压触及关键支撑，商品反弹。策略：分批止盈，逢高重建AUDUSD/GBPUSD空头；铜现看跌反转端倪，KRE或筑顶警示金融回调。

20

Aug 2026

投资者评估贝森特推动的财政部债券回购举措，因美国债务突破40万亿美元且维持利率不变在即

美债回购计划评估持续，国债总额破40万亿；公众持有债务32.26万亿为关键。140亿美元回购仅占长债0.14%，或致融资短端化。纪要偏鹰，利率或高位至2027，宜期权捕捉波动并对冲回撤。

20

Aug 2026

随着资金流入，互换窗口提前关闭；印度央行马尔霍特拉称美元远期净空头规模可控

印度央行称远期美元净空头“可控”，干预仅抑波不锚汇；预计吸引800亿美元外汇、储备近高位，卢比料窄幅震荡，宜卖出看涨及短期期权策略。

20

Aug 2026

俄罗斯央行称外汇储备升至7,556亿美元，周度增加156亿美元

俄罗斯央行外汇储备跃升至7,556亿美元，单周增156亿美元，强化流动性缓冲预期；分析指金价重估与油气回流驱动，或压缩新兴市场风险溢价，利好黄金、原油期权及CNH替代策略。

20

Aug 2026

美国初请失业金人数四周均值升破20万，强化市场对美联储降息的押注

8月14日美国初请失业金四周均值升至20.4万并站上20万，劳动力市场降温信号增强。策略：做多SOFR看涨、配置标普保护性看跌/VIX价差，并买入EUR/USD看涨捕捉美元走弱。

20

Aug 2026

美国初请失业金人数低于预期，强化美联储按兵不动预期，推动美债收益率上行并提振美元押注

初请失业金降至20.6万、优于预期，凸显美国就业韧性；美联储9月大幅降息概率下调，利率或高位更久，建议配置美债看跌、卖出标普虚值看跌及美元看涨期权。

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