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24

Aug 2026

美元企稳推动美元兑日元走强，市场聚焦PCE数据、杰克逊霍尔年会及日本央行会议

美元/日元回升至159附近，美元企稳且伊朗制裁升级；市场聚焦美国PCE与杰克逊霍尔，以及日本央行9月前瞻指引。抓住机会：建议布局短期限跨式、看跌期权及看跌价差。

24

Aug 2026

加元下挫，因美加谈判破裂推动美元/加元升向200日均线

美加谈判破裂致加元领跌G10，USD/CAD回测200日均线1.3844并偏上行；隐含波动率抬升，建议布局1.3900美元看涨期权，目标1.3950，警惕BoC或加速降息。

24

Aug 2026

道明证券预计，随着油价冲击消退，加拿大央行将把政策利率维持在2.25%直至2026年

TD Securities料加拿大央行隔夜利率2.25%按兵不动至2026年，油价冲击消退、通胀动能温和支撑“延长暂停”；建议布局CORRA多头与卖出加元波动率，关注9月会议与纪要。

24

Aug 2026

加元下挫，因美加贸易谈判破裂；关税升级担忧升温推动美元/加元走高

美加谈判破裂叠加关税升级预期，加元承压致美元/加元升至1.3830；伊朗二级制裁或推升油价制衡涨势。期权建议跨式布局，对冲9月与2027风险。

24

Aug 2026

市场关注澳洲联储会议纪要、美国核心PCE物价指数与GDP数据，油价回落、金价走强

高波动周来袭：RBA纪要、美国核心PCE与GDP、加拿大GDP及杰克逊霍尔讲话或重塑美元定价。油价关注85/90阻力与82支撑；金价突破4,650，警惕超买回撤。

24

Aug 2026

加拿大皇家银行警告称，美国50%关税或冲击加拿大出口商，并对加元及债券构成下行压力

RBC警示：美国338条对加出口约5%商品征50%关税，冲击塑料、电机、家具木制品并或外溢CUSMA；加元波动上行，BoC料按兵不动，债券利率下行与产业对冲窗口开启。

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